NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	3.7 [1062]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +15.3%
San Antonio Spurs	117		Comeback	1.5 [1190]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (MIN): -6.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	16	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	8%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.02	-0.07	11	61%	0.16	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.03	14	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	17	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	35.2	15.4	28.4	2.7	26.1	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +59.8%

MIN -6.3%

MIN -3.4%

MIN -1.4%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.3	96.1	115.8	106.0
season	14.7	15.9		100.1	108.2
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	13.3	14.6	12.4	13.8
SAS	14.8	13.9	13.6	15.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	63	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-22	26	14.0	13.6	0.36	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Nathan Jawai	16	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-16	14	11.6	14.3	-2.63	15.1	14.3	0.78
Brian Cardinal	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-14	10	9.8	14.3	-4.51	17.8	14.0	3.78
Wayne Ellington	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-17	16	13.2	14.2	-1.00	16.4	13.3	3.02
Sasha Pavlovic	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-12	6	12.9	14.1	-1.21	15.6	14.0	1.61
Kevin Love	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-19	20	13.5	14.6	-1.08	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Al Jefferson	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-14	10	14.6	12.7	1.89	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Corey Brewer	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-5	-8	13.9	13.8	0.13	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Jonny Flynn	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-7	-4	14.3	13.2	1.14	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Ryan Hollins	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-3	-12	15.8	13.2	2.62	13.3	14.8	-1.47
Ramon Sessions	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	-1	-16	13.8	13.9	-0.19	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Ryan Gomes	33	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	4	-26	14.3	13.6	0.67	14.1	14.5	-0.43

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	2	14	13.8	15.3	-1.50	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Roger Mason Jr.	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	1	16	14.9	13.5	1.39	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Tim Duncan	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	3	12	13.2	15.7	-2.48	14.9	12.6	2.34
Richard Jefferson	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	6	6	14.0	15.4	-1.38	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Tony Parker	63	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	10	-2	13.8	15.4	-1.69	14.2	13.3	0.92
George Hill	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	7	4	15.7	13.6	2.12	13.2	14.3	-1.12
DeJuan Blair	52	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	15	-12	14.2	14.6	-0.34	14.1	13.6	0.50
Antonio McDyess	41	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	14	-10	14.8	14.1	0.65	14.5	13.3	1.18
Keith Bogans	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	18	-18	14.6	14.3	0.27	15.1	13.3	1.79
Malik Hairston	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	17.8	14.1	3.71	10.7	14.2	-3.48
Theo Ratliff	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	17.1	14.2	2.95	10.1	14.1	-3.97
Marcus Haislip	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	17.1	14.2	2.95	10.1	14.1	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ORL 73, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 69, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%