NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	3.8 [1035]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +11.7%
Atlanta Hawks	130		Comeback	1.6 [1229]		LVP	Rafer Alston (NJN): -13.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	93%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	9	39%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	12	70%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Terrence Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.01	0.07	14	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	18	56%	0.05	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	8	11%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	12	72%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	63%	0.07	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	13	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	12	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	-0.00	0.15	13	79%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	30.0	14.8	30.0	0.8	29.0	134.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.6%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +14.9%

ATL +6.2%

ATL +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	15.3	104.9	128.7	106.0
season	15.9	16.0		98.7	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.0		106.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	16.9	13.7	12.9	14.5
ATL	13.9	12.6	14.0	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	39	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	-20	17	13.3	15.3	-2.05	14.3	13.5	0.83
Sean Williams	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-23	23	11.4	15.2	-3.84	15.1	13.6	1.49
Trenton Hassell	48	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-19	15	13.5	15.5	-2.02	14.1	13.6	0.49
Eduardo Najera	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-12	1	15.6	14.1	1.49	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Terrence Williams	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-17	11	14.3	14.9	-0.58	14.3	13.2	1.10
Bobby Simmons	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	-9	-5	14.0	15.0	-1.02	14.0	13.7	0.29
Devin Harris	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-12	1	15.5	11.6	3.85	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Rafer Alston	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.35	-24	1	-25	14.4	14.7	-0.23	13.6	14.0	-0.45
Courtney Lee	70	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	0	-23	15.1	13.3	1.80	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Brook Lopez	81	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	-4	-15	15.3	11.8	3.45	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.24	26	-3	29	13.3	14.9	-1.61	14.8	14.0	0.81
Joe Johnson	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.17	21	2	19	13.6	14.3	-0.71	15.7	12.6	3.10
Mike Bibby	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	10	3	13.3	14.5	-1.16	15.4	13.6	1.81
Josh Smith	55	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	7	9	13.3	14.4	-1.09	14.8	14.2	0.55
Jeff Teague	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	11	1	14.2	13.4	0.85	13.5	15.7	-2.24
Maurice Evans	71	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	17	-11	14.4	12.6	1.79	13.9	16.1	-2.12
Zaza Pachulia	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	10	3	14.2	13.6	0.58	15.3	14.1	1.19
Al Horford	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	15	-7	13.5	14.2	-0.72	15.4	13.5	1.90
Othello Hunter	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	14.6	13.6	1.00	12.0	15.1	-3.13
Randolph Morris	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.1	13.6	1.49	11.4	15.2	-3.84
Jason Collins	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	16.3	13.6	2.65	11.1	14.8	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHI 97, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%