NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	10.7 [35]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +57.3%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	28.7 [52]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -23.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.21,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.32	-0.01	0.33	0.01	14	57%	0.57	5	-0.26	12	75%	0.19
Raymond Felton	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.05	0.20	-0.02	16	59%	0.34	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	69%	0.16	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.07,0.06,-0.08	0.04	-0.12	0.01	25	52%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.18,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.11,0.57	0.57	-0.04	0.60	-0.01	34	46%	0.66	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.05
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	10	58%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	7	87%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,-0.37,-0.33,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	19	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	30.2	16.8	29.2	2.4	34.2	1.7	20.0	160.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.2%

CHA -46.4%

DAL +24.1%

DAL +41.4%

CHA -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.7	15.3	99.0	100.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.2		103.0	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.6	18.2	15.1	19.8	14.5	16.7
DAL	15.7	16.1	14.9	17.2	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	27	27	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-13	25	17.6	16.4	1.24	17.6	15.0	2.54
Stephen Graham	29	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-7	13	17.6	16.4	1.16	16.2	15.5	0.70
Nazr Mohammed	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-2	3	16.2	16.9	-0.61	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Derrick Brown	6	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	15.0	16.8	-1.85	12.7	16.0	-3.23
Boris Diaw	64	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	9	-19	16.5	17.2	-0.68	16.2	14.6	1.61
Gerald Wallace	94	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-5	9	16.8	15.2	1.55	15.9	12.8	3.07
Tyson Chandler	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-3	5	17.2	15.8	1.40	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Stephen Jackson	87	87	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.56	-4	3	-7	16.3	19.8	-3.47	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Raymond Felton	85	84	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	11	-23	16.8	16.0	0.85	15.3	18.4	-3.17

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	73	75	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.41	12	-11	23	15.2	17.3	-2.16	16.8	16.6	0.22
Shawn Marion	83	83	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-9	19	15.7	16.0	-0.34	17.2	14.3	2.91
Dirk Nowitzki	86	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	-5	11	15.5	17.0	-1.47	16.7	16.7	0.01
Jason Terry	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	4	-7	15.9	15.3	0.52	17.4	15.1	2.32
Jason Kidd	67	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-7	15	15.4	16.3	-0.89	17.3	15.5	1.78
Tim Thomas	13	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	2	-3	16.6	15.6	1.04	16.9	16.7	0.20
Jose Juan Barea	50	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	5	-9	16.2	15.2	1.03	15.5	17.9	-2.46
Quinton Ross	24	23	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	12	-23	16.3	15.5	0.82	15.1	17.2	-2.10
Drew Gooden	15	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	14	-27	17.9	15.3	2.62	16.3	16.8	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, ATL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.55,0.58,1	91.5%
WAS 99, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.37,0.1,0.09,0.5,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.27,1	91.2%
CHA 107, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,1	90.1%