NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	7.0 [399]		MVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): +43.8%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	5.9 [70]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -12.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.22	0.25	0.03	11	92%	0.44	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	20	67%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.18	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.15	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.04	8	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	67%	0.23	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.07
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.02	13	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	38%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	9	53%	0.05	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	14	39%	-0.03	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	27.7	15.6	24.2	1.8	28.2	126.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +92.8%

NOH -21.8%

NOH -11.9%

NOH -7.9%

NOH -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.3	116.5	100.0	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		105.9	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	13.9	15.3	16.4	14.6
NOH	14.5	14.9	15.3	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	66	64	0.80	-0.30	1.11	-0.02	28	-11	39	14.6	14.6	-0.01	15.3	15.1	0.22
David Lee	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-1	19	14.9	13.3	1.62	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Danilo Gallinari	60	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	-4	25	14.9	14.2	0.64	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Chris Duhon	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	1	15	14.4	15.1	-0.71	15.6	14.3	1.30
Al Harrington	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	3	11	15.2	13.4	1.79	15.9	13.7	2.23
Eddy Curry	15	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	18	-19	13.3	14.9	-1.62	15.7	15.1	0.56
Wilson Chandler	69	71	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	22	-27	14.4	15.3	-0.96	15.2	15.2	0.07
Larry Hughes	57	57	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	23	-29	14.3	15.1	-0.78	14.2	16.7	-2.59

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-14	11	14.3	15.5	-1.13	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Darius Songaila	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-19	21	14.8	15.7	-0.85	14.4	14.9	-0.44
Devin Brown	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-12	7	15.4	15.0	0.35	14.3	14.9	-0.57
Emeka Okafor	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	16.0	14.6	1.32	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Marcus Thornton	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-5	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.35	14.9	14.3	0.57
Peja Stojakovic	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-5	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.5	15.4	-0.99
James Posey	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-2	-13	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.1	14.2	0.82
David West	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-1	-15	15.1	15.6	-0.48	15.0	13.6	1.40
Chris Paul	73	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	-3	-11	15.5	14.3	1.13	14.7	14.4	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	92.5%
MIL 105, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.05,0	91.1%
NJN 104, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.1,0	90.7%