inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement7.4 [312] MVPRaymond Felton (CHA): +20.9%
Charlotte Bobcats 107 Comeback2.0 [641] LVPChauncey Billups (DEN): -18.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.03-0.022262%0.286-0.221191%0.03
Chris Andersen0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00467%0.071-0.024100%0.02
J.R. Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.020.020.00-0.001648%0.031-0.001100%0.01
Nene0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00650%0.021-0.02450%-0.04
Joey Graham-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00567%0.072-0.082100%0.01
Ty Lawson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00550%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Renaldo Balkman-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Arron Afflalo-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.190,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19-0.08-0.14-0.031150%-0.005-0.196100%0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.120.100.027100%0.241-0.0300%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.080.060.01762%0.1200.001090%0.04
Gerald Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.110.110.090.02-0.011658%0.172-0.061173%-0.06
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.030.00583%0.183-0.132100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.050.05-0.030.090.011953%0.204-0.159100%0.03
Derrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.02140%-0.021-0.03367%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001035%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.04-0.03217%-0.044-0.09250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.732.315.830.22.532.3143.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +42.2%
DEN -5.1%
CHA +10.6%
CHA +1.5%
CHA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game14.015.915.397.9111.5106.0
season14.416.2110.3103.0
opponent15.415.5101.8106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.614.212.316.014.0
CHA14.115.217.716.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joey Graham37380.18-0.680.860.035-172213.914.0-0.0717.514.82.75
Renaldo Balkman15160.08-0.580.650.022-141614.613.90.7215.815.9-0.06
Ty Lawson3738-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-131414.313.80.4515.516.1-0.56
Arron Afflalo4946-0.21-0.290.090.26-164-2013.414.6-1.1316.914.92.05
Carmelo Anthony8786-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-4-413.716.4-2.6915.420.1-4.73
Nene7270-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-120-1213.814.6-0.8816.414.51.87
Chauncey Billups6764-0.510.01-0.52-0.10-142-1614.213.40.8116.215.21.06
J.R. Smith6061-0.540.04-0.59-0.19-120-1214.213.60.6815.117.2-2.15
Chris Andersen6161-0.550.05-0.60-0.38-6-6014.313.50.7814.817.8-3.00

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed45450.77-0.271.030.0923-113415.316.3-1.0014.513.51.01
Raymond Felton70720.74-0.240.990.0723-113415.716.2-0.5014.014.1-0.12
Stephen Jackson85860.57-0.070.630.1913-11415.717.0-1.2814.113.50.60
Gerald Wallace88890.55-0.050.600.1713-11415.816.7-0.9714.112.61.49
Ronald Murray27280.470.030.450.151111014.916.3-1.4116.513.03.53
Boris Diaw62620.130.37-0.230.0248-416.514.61.8913.115.5-2.43
Gerald Henderson660.040.46-0.42-0.0848-422.515.47.0813.014.1-1.05
Derrick Brown2020-0.000.50-0.50-0.00012-1213.016.6-3.6213.614.1-0.49
DeSagana Diop35-0.120.62-0.740.02-517-2220.015.74.2714.414.00.43
Stephen Graham2120-0.120.62-0.750.02-517-2216.315.70.5412.514.4-1.88
D.J. Augustin2625-0.240.74-0.990.08-1123-3416.215.70.5014.114.00.12
Tyson Chandler2727-0.280.78-1.060.01-1022-3216.815.51.3213.414.2-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 103, NYK 1100.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.98,193.1%
CLE 91, GSW 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,192.7%
OKC 92, NYK 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.91,0.67,0.81,0.97,1,0.98,192.4%