NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	7.8 [248]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (SAC): +17.9%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.4 [1066]		LVP	Donte Greene (SAC): -10.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	13	71%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	8	63%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.09	-0.09	0.06	16	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Donte Greene	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	5	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.10

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	23	60%	0.23	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.10	0.04	10	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	4	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	3	-0.06	12	67%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	15	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	0.5	29.6	16.4	25.9	2.5	30.6	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.0%

PHX +11.0%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +0.8%

PHX +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.3	111.5	125.0	106.0
season	15.2	14.4		103.7	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	16.5	17.7	13.3	15.1
PHX	12.2	17.0	13.7	20.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	45	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.9	14.5	1.44	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Donte Greene	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-9	10	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Kenny Thomas	50	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-13	18	16.8	13.3	3.54	16.3	14.6	1.73
Omri Casspi	53	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-10	12	13.7	16.9	-3.14	16.0	14.9	1.11
Spencer Hawes	63	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-2	-4	16.6	12.4	4.16	14.3	17.9	-3.61
Ime Udoka	21	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	3	-14	14.0	15.4	-1.38	13.8	16.0	-2.12
Tyreke Evans	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	15.5	14.4	1.06	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Jason Thompson	50	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	12.8	17.6	-4.77	15.8	15.2	0.67
Beno Udrih	46	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	14.8	15.4	-0.66	17.6	13.7	3.82
Andres Nocioni	63	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	15.3	14.7	0.65	15.8	15.1	0.70

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	75	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	15.0	17.8	-2.82	14.7	16.9	-2.27
Channing Frye	85	89	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	15.5	16.3	-0.83	15.1	14.9	0.29
Grant Hill	73	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	4	0	15.9	14.0	1.92	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Jason Richardson	65	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	3	2	15.6	15.4	0.11	14.1	17.7	-3.54
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	6	-4	15.7	14.6	1.12	15.3	14.1	1.28
Robin Lopez	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	15.1	15.6	-0.49	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Jared Dudley	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	6	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.37	17.0	13.8	3.26
Goran Dragic	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	8	-8	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.8	14.6	2.20
Earl Clark	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	7	-6	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.0	15.1	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,1	93.0%
LAL 111, HOU 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,1,1,1,1	92.5%
DAL 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.4%