NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	117		Excitement	2.3 [1265]		MVP	Tim Thomas (DAL): +12.4%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	1.5 [1000]		LVP	Drew Gooden (DAL): -5.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	10	82%	0.11	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	69%	0.08	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.10	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.10	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.08	6	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	6	29%	-0.01	5	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	13	92%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	61%	0.06	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	14	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.03	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	5	54%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.5	15.6	28.2	2.3	28.3	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +41.1%

DAL +1.6%

DAL +8.9%

NJN -1.4%

NJN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.3	124.5	105.2	106.0
season	15.2	15.9		107.2	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	12.2	14.2	16.8	14.3
NJN	16.6	17.8	15.8	13.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.28	30	-14	44	13.4	17.0	-3.55	16.3	15.2	1.16
Jason Terry	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-6	28	14.1	14.8	-0.69	16.1	15.9	0.19
Erick Dampier	46	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	8	0	13.2	15.3	-2.03	16.5	15.6	0.87
Jason Kidd	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	-8	32	13.3	17.0	-3.66	17.1	13.5	3.61
Shawn Marion	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	1	14	14.0	14.8	-0.74	16.5	15.2	1.31
Tim Thomas	41	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	17	-18	15.4	13.4	2.02	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Jose Juan Barea	34	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	22	-28	16.1	13.2	2.93	13.8	17.4	-3.59
Rodrigue Beaubois	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	22	-28	14.8	14.1	0.69	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Kris Humphries	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	21.7	13.9	7.81	15.8	16.0	-0.23
James Singleton	9	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	25	-34	18.3	13.8	4.49	13.5	16.4	-2.90
Drew Gooden	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	13	-10	14.7	14.0	0.67	15.8	16.2	-0.38

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	37	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-16	16	14.7	16.8	-2.14	14.6	14.1	0.52
Terrence Williams	41	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-14	12	14.7	17.0	-2.29	16.2	12.9	3.21
Courtney Lee	63	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-21	26	15.2	17.7	-2.51	15.4	12.0	3.35
Sean Williams	27	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-1	-14	14.8	16.5	-1.68	15.1	13.9	1.20
Brook Lopez	74	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-9	2	16.5	14.3	2.21	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Chris Douglas-Roberts	79	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-9	2	16.1	15.7	0.38	14.3	14.2	0.09
Josh Boone	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	3	-22	18.2	14.7	3.53	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Trenton Hassell	53	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	16.4	15.6	0.84	13.6	15.0	-1.45
Devin Harris	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	5	-26	16.7	14.3	2.40	13.4	16.6	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAC 107, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
TOR 120, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%