NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	130		Excitement	3.3 [1115]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +15.0%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -3.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	11	81%	0.17	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	11	70%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	8	85%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	20	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	7	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	15	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	19	45%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	29.5	15.7	28.2	1.7	24.0	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.8%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +0.2%

LAL +3.3%

GSW -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	13.1	15.3	126.2	93.3	106.0
season	15.7	13.4		107.9	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		110.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	15.8	12.3	16.8	14.7
GSW	13.5	13.6	13.4	12.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	8	17	13.9	15.9	-1.97	13.6	12.4	1.16
Kobe Bryant	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	15	3	14.1	15.9	-1.75	13.8	11.8	1.94
Andrew Bynum	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	16	1	14.8	14.5	0.38	13.6	12.4	1.13
Derek Fisher	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	17	-1	14.7	14.6	0.10	13.9	12.3	1.59
Pau Gasol	71	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.20	17	16	1	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.6	12.3	1.31
Lamar Odom	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.46	25	8	17	14.4	15.0	-0.59	13.4	12.8	0.69
Shannon Brown	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.31	17	16	1	15.5	13.9	1.57	12.4	13.8	-1.47
Jordan Farmar	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.30	16	17	-1	14.3	15.0	-0.65	13.2	13.1	0.14
Adam Morrison	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	26	-19	16.6	14.3	2.26	10.7	13.7	-3.00
Josh Powell	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	30	-27	16.2	14.5	1.67	10.2	13.5	-3.31
Sasha Vujacic	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	30	-27	16.2	14.5	1.67	10.2	13.5	-3.31
DJ Mbenga	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	32	-31	17.0	14.5	2.45	5.7	13.6	-7.94

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	30	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-32	31	13.2	13.1	0.08	16.8	13.8	3.03
CJ Watson	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.26	-10	-23	13	12.0	14.1	-2.10	15.3	14.2	1.06
Mikki Moore	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-25	17	13.4	13.1	0.36	13.9	14.9	-0.97
Vladimir Radmanovic	70	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	-20	7	13.0	13.4	-0.44	15.4	13.2	2.17
Anthony Morrow	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.44	-24	-9	-15	12.8	13.7	-0.90	14.7	14.6	0.12
Anthony Randolph	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-18	3	12.0	13.7	-1.72	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Stephen Curry	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.35	-23	-10	-13	12.9	13.9	-1.04	14.6	15.1	-0.57
Ronny Turiaf	39	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	-13	-7	14.3	12.4	1.90	13.3	15.4	-2.13
Corey Maggette	71	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.23	-24	-9	-15	13.7	12.0	1.63	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Monta Ellis	75	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.29	-27	-6	-21	13.9	11.2	2.64	14.4	15.3	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 125, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MEM 118, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%