NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	7.6 [282]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +27.1%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	4.4 [187]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -15.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	14	67%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.01	10	55%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	86%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.05
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.13	0.04	18	71%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.01	7	57%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.14	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	21	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	18	41%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	28.2	16.5	25.3	2.5	38.4	137.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.0%

PHX +15.9%

PHX +9.3%

HOU -12.2%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.5	15.9	15.3	112.1	108.2	106.0
season	14.4	15.0		113.5	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	13.9	15.2	12.6	13.5
HOU	15.5	14.9	17.5	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-1	8	13.3	14.4	-1.13	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Steve Nash	76	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	13.5	13.7	-0.20	16.0	15.3	0.68
Grant Hill	64	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	13.0	14.5	-1.50	16.0	15.7	0.24
Channing Frye	51	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	13.8	13.3	0.53	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Jason Richardson	66	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	13.7	13.2	0.45	16.1	15.4	0.79
Leandro Barbosa	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	13.2	13.7	-0.45	15.4	16.1	-0.79
Jarron Collins	24	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	2	2	15.3	13.0	2.36	17.1	15.5	1.58
Jared Dudley	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	6	-6	13.1	13.8	-0.69	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Goran Dragic	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	13.7	13.5	0.20	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Lou Amundson	40	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	8	-10	13.8	13.3	0.51	16.6	15.4	1.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	16.6	14.7	1.91	14.2	12.5	1.65
Chase Budinger	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	13.8	16.8	-3.07	12.9	13.8	-0.90
David Andersen	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.2	-1.01	13.8	13.5	0.30
Charles Hayes	38	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-10	14	15.3	16.2	-0.95	14.8	12.7	2.15
Aaron Brooks	86	87	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-11	16	15.8	16.6	-0.87	13.7	12.5	1.19
Kyle Lowry	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	8	-22	15.6	16.0	-0.49	13.2	13.7	-0.46
Shane Battier	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	16.2	15.2	1.08	13.3	14.0	-0.68
Trevor Ariza	77	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	16.2	14.5	1.72	13.3	14.5	-1.15
Carl Landry	62	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.15	-17	11	-28	16.4	14.9	1.49	12.8	14.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.61,0.45,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.51,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.08,0	91.1%
MIL 107, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.21,0.03,0,0	90.7%
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	90.7%