inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement4.1 [973] MVPMickael Pietrus (ORL): +10.1%
Charlotte Bobcats 81 Comeback1.1 [566] LVPBoris Diaw (CHA): -10.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.01-0.041155%0.1000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.000.02978%0.0900.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.03-0.041643%0.0600.00367%-0.02
JJ Redick0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00662%0.0400.001100%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.03-0.01455%0.051-0.02367%-0.01
Dwight Howard0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.02-0.061354%0.095-0.06250%-0.01
Jason Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03450%0.002-0.0220%-0.02
Matt Barnes-0.030,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.061139%0.013-0.031100%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00756%0.033-0.05250%-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.021072%0.111-0.025100%0.02
Raja Bell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.021254%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.02679%0.071-0.04250%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.031-0.002100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02444%0.012-0.0510%-0.03
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.001246%0.013-0.06475%-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00633%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.010.001839%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.828.215.524.43.327.3122.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +37.7%
CHA -0.8%
CHA -7.3%
ORL +18.1%
ORL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game15.916.315.3103.391.0106.0
season15.416.2110.1103.0
opponent15.415.9101.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.316.016.917.515.9
CHA16.016.018.215.216.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mickael Pietrus55540.480.020.450.0614-21616.015.60.4115.617.4-1.81
Jason Williams34330.430.070.370.111111015.616.0-0.4215.516.8-1.35
Matt Barnes74730.410.090.320.2175216.114.91.2216.316.4-0.16
Vince Carter47460.340.160.190.1184416.715.01.6815.816.8-0.99
Marcin Gortat32320.310.190.120.1366016.715.41.3516.416.20.21
Dwight Howard68670.170.33-0.150.0357-215.616.6-0.9416.316.20.16
Brandon Bass41410.150.35-0.210.0348-415.016.6-1.6617.115.61.52
JJ Redick43430.140.36-0.220.0248-415.016.7-1.6816.815.80.99
Jameer Nelson56560.070.43-0.370.04111-1016.015.60.4216.815.51.35

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Henderson46-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-12128.216.7-8.4315.715.9-0.23
Raymond Felton5757-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-172216.715.61.0615.816.0-0.15
DeSagana Diop76-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-8417.316.21.0715.315.9-0.58
Nazr Mohammed3232-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-10816.716.10.6514.816.5-1.70
Tyson Chandler2022-0.09-0.410.31-0.090-121216.916.10.7717.815.32.51
Stephen Graham2021-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-7216.016.4-0.3317.415.42.02
Raja Bell6162-0.19-0.310.12-0.190-121216.715.41.3316.514.52.05
Boris Diaw7573-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-6-6016.515.11.3815.318.2-2.83
Vladimir Radmanovic3032-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-8-4-414.817.1-2.3216.015.80.24
Ronald Murray3030-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-153-1816.116.4-0.3114.816.4-1.62
Gerald Wallace7776-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-8-4-416.515.01.5115.816.4-0.65
D.J. Augustin3233-0.49-0.01-0.480.01-175-2215.616.7-1.0616.015.80.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 95, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
DEN 111, PHX 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
ATL 117, GSW 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,095.0%