NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	3.6 [1081]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +22.7%
Washington Wizards	123		Comeback	1.4 [1026]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -7.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	12	92%	0.03
Terrence Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	12	35%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	11	83%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	27%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.05	0.05	13	84%	0.28	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.23	0.01	0.11	18	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	34.0	15.6	30.5	2.3	25.7	134.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.8%

WAS +0.4%

WAS +7.7%

NJN -5.9%

NJN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.3	109.5	132.3	106.0
season	15.9	15.7		98.7	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	16.0	14.4	18.1	15.4
WAS	14.8	13.4	16.3	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	16.5	15.2	1.33	16.5	15.0	1.41
Bobby Simmons	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-13	7	17.0	15.2	1.76	14.2	15.4	-1.13
Eduardo Najera	39	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-17	15	13.6	16.6	-2.97	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Josh Boone	23	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-4	-11	17.8	14.6	3.21	15.7	15.1	0.63
Brook Lopez	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-12	5	14.2	17.4	-3.17	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Terrence Williams	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-6	-7	16.1	14.5	1.60	15.9	14.5	1.41
Chris Douglas-Roberts	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-5	-9	16.0	13.1	2.92	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Rafer Alston	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-6	-7	14.2	18.0	-3.86	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Yi Jianlian	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-6	-7	16.4	13.7	2.73	15.3	15.1	0.29
Courtney Lee	81	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-4	-11	15.3	16.0	-0.72	15.6	13.3	2.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	58	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	0	19	15.3	15.1	0.17	15.0	16.1	-1.15
Andray Blatche	53	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	-4	27	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.9	14.7	1.16
Mike Miller	69	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	5	9	14.9	16.2	-1.24	14.8	17.3	-2.58
DeShawn Stevenson	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	4	11	15.6	14.8	0.74	15.9	14.7	1.20
Brendan Haywood	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	10	-1	14.6	16.3	-1.65	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Randy Foye	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	8	3	15.3	15.0	0.27	15.6	14.9	0.69
Fabricio Oberto	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	9	1	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Nick Young	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	16	-13	15.5	15.2	0.39	16.7	15.0	1.70
JaVale McGee	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	18	-17	15.4	15.2	0.25	15.9	15.2	0.63
Dominic McGuire	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	13.7	15.4	-1.69	15.7	15.4	0.35
Paul Davis	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	13.7	15.4	-1.69	15.7	15.4	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MEM 98, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 83, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%