NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	9.2 [99]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +61.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	5.2 [289]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -16.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.62	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.35,0.62	0.09	0.53	0.00	15	69%	0.71	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Leandro Barbosa	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.33	0.04	0.28	-0.01	16	50%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	6	73%	0.15	6	-0.32	10	80%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.44	0.44	0.14	0.31	0.00	10	83%	0.46	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.13	-0.00	17	61%	0.31	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	11	46%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Kareem Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.12	-0.12	0.08	-0.16	0.03	15	64%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	13	48%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.8	33.2	15.8	27.3	2.5	39.2	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.7%

PHX +20.2%

LAC -2.7%

LAC -6.6%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.3	114.7	111.5	106.0
season	14.4	15.5		113.5	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	13.7	14.1	13.5	14.1
LAC	13.3	17.0	15.9	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	49	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.64	-3	5	-8	14.0	14.2	-0.22	16.5	15.6	0.83
Leandro Barbosa	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	1	0	14.1	13.9	0.25	16.5	14.1	2.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	2	-2	13.8	15.4	-1.62	16.3	14.9	1.43
Steve Nash	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.55	-7	9	-16	13.9	14.7	-0.75	15.8	16.9	-1.02
Grant Hill	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.59	-12	14	-26	14.0	14.2	-0.17	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Earl Clark	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-9	20	14.2	14.0	0.28	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Goran Dragic	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	-7	16	14.7	13.9	0.75	16.9	15.8	1.02
Jared Dudley	47	46	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.32	12	-10	22	13.9	14.2	-0.34	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Lou Amundson	21	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	3	-4	15.5	13.7	1.79	14.2	16.6	-2.35

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	0	1	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.20	3	-5	8	0.0	16.1	-16.06	6.0	14.2	-8.17
Craig Smith	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	2	-6	15.1	16.3	-1.24	15.2	13.8	1.34
Chris Kaman	82	82	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-8	14	16.4	14.3	2.08	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Kareem Rush	6	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	6	-14	17.7	16.0	1.71	17.3	13.8	3.46
Baron Davis	76	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.56	12	-14	26	15.6	17.7	-2.13	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Sebastian Telfair	20	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	12	-26	17.7	15.6	2.13	14.7	13.9	0.78
Al Thornton	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	3	-8	15.5	16.7	-1.22	14.4	13.8	0.58
Eric Gordon	83	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	5	-7	12	15.8	17.7	-1.89	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Rasual Butler	64	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.7	1.97	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Marcus Camby	80	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.72	2	-4	6	16.0	16.6	-0.60	14.0	14.6	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.57,0.84,0	91.7%
IND 94, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.58,0	91.3%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	90.7%