NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	7.0 [392]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +17.4%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	3.5 [133]		LVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): -18.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.02	8	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	16	62%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
David Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	21	54%	0.13	6	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.07	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	7	81%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	20	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.01	0.09	12	58%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	14	31%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	35.8	15.7	24.2	2.5	30.4	134.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.0%

HOU +3.3%

HOU +2.5%

GSW -1.1%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	15.3	109.1	108.1	106.0
season	15.0	13.4		106.0	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		110.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	13.2	13.7	19.6	15.1
GSW	13.7	13.4	17.0	11.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	81	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.0	13.8	0.12
Charles Hayes	55	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-9	19	14.3	16.2	-1.83	14.8	13.0	1.77
Luis Scola	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-6	13	15.3	14.8	0.50	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	15.2	14.9	0.31	14.0	13.7	0.31
Shane Battier	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	3	-5	13.8	18.4	-4.68	14.0	13.7	0.32
Chase Budinger	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	5	-9	17.5	13.9	3.64	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Kyle Lowry	33	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	7	-13	15.8	14.8	0.92	13.8	14.0	-0.28
David Andersen	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	15.1	15.2	-0.10	15.4	13.6	1.83
Carl Landry	51	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	10	-19	15.3	15.0	0.36	13.1	14.9	-1.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	54	54	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-6	11	13.2	14.9	-1.72	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Kelenna Azubuike	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-8	15	12.6	14.7	-2.08	17.2	14.0	3.14
Anthony Morrow	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.31	5	-6	11	13.6	14.3	-0.71	13.3	17.0	-3.76
Andris Biedrins	65	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-5	9	13.6	14.5	-0.88	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Stephen Curry	75	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-8	15	13.5	15.5	-2.05	15.3	14.5	0.79
Anthony Randolph	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	7	-15	15.5	13.5	1.99	11.1	16.4	-5.28
Stephen Jackson	70	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	1	-3	14.1	13.5	0.66	15.4	14.4	0.96
Ronny Turiaf	49	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	10	-21	15.2	12.7	2.52	16.3	14.0	2.35
Monta Ellis	74	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	11	-23	14.7	11.8	2.93	16.0	12.6	3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.02,0	93.0%
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.6%
UTA 109, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%