NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	2.6 [1238]		MVP	Ronald Murray (ATL): +13.7%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.2 [1251]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -8.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	11	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.10	10	79%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.01	0.10	18	77%	0.14	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	74%	0.09	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	22	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	26.2	15.4	24.4	1.7	32.0	125.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.3%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +4.8%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	107.8	121.1	106.4
season	15.8	15.8		104.3	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.1		106.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.2	17.4	17.0	13.2	16.1
ATL	13.5	15.4	16.5	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Brown	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-19	26	15.2	16.7	-1.42	18.2	14.5	3.67
Kevin Ollie	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-16	20	15.2	16.8	-1.67	16.2	15.6	0.52
Shelden Williams	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	18.6	15.9	2.72	9.7	16.5	-6.70
Kevin Love	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-6	0	16.1	16.2	-0.02	15.6	16.1	-0.56
Sebastian Telfair	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-4	-4	16.9	15.6	1.39	15.2	16.3	-1.04
Craig Smith	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	15.6	16.5	-0.89	17.5	14.7	2.82
Brian Cardinal	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	15.9	16.3	-0.40	17.3	14.8	2.47
Mike Miller	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	16.4	15.9	0.49	14.1	17.8	-3.66
Ryan Gomes	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-2	-8	16.3	15.9	0.40	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Randy Foye	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	3	-18	16.9	14.7	2.21	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Rodney Carney	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	2	-16	15.8	16.8	-1.00	16.4	14.9	1.45

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-10	32	15.9	15.8	0.13	16.2	16.1	0.11
Mike Bibby	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.29	24	-12	36	15.0	19.0	-4.04	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	-7	26	15.6	16.1	-0.53	17.5	15.0	2.51
Joe Johnson	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-5	22	15.7	16.3	-0.55	16.1	16.3	-0.16
Josh Smith	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	0	12	16.1	15.4	0.68	15.7	16.9	-1.26
Mario West	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	14	-16	16.1	15.7	0.37	16.4	16.0	0.43
Maurice Evans	50	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.66	18.0	13.7	4.28
Al Horford	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	9	-6	15.9	15.8	0.10	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Randolph Morris	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	20.3	15.7	4.63	2.5	16.5	-13.95
Thomas Gardner	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	22	-32	19.7	15.7	4.08	8.7	16.5	-7.74
Othello Hunter	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	22	-32	19.7	15.7	4.08	8.7	16.5	-7.74
Solomon Jones	12	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	22	-32	18.2	15.5	2.67	14.9	16.3	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, WAS 130	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 79, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 81, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%