NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	121		Excitement	2.6 [1237]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +7.4%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.0 [261]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -8.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	16	68%	0.12	5	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.04	13	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	57%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.05	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Demetris Nichols	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheikh Samb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	8	33%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	0.08	9	70%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	30.4	17.4	24.5	2.4	28.5	129.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.2%

SAC +2.4%

SAC +10.4%

NYK -5.8%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	12.8	15.5	119.8	94.0	106.4
season	15.0	13.8		104.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.1	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	16.5	15.5	19.8	15.9
NYK	12.7	12.9	13.3	12.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	63	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.45	36	-9	45	15.7	16.2	-0.51	13.3	11.8	1.46
Kevin Martin	86	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.38	33	-6	39	15.4	18.9	-3.57	13.2	10.2	2.95
Beno Udrih	87	86	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.29	28	-1	29	16.0	15.4	0.54	12.8	12.2	0.62
Francisco Garcia	88	86	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	10	7	15.4	19.5	-4.10	12.6	13.5	-0.87
Donte Greene	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	13	1	18.3	14.5	3.80	12.3	13.0	-0.72
Jason Thompson	77	75	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	13	1	15.3	17.9	-2.60	13.0	12.0	1.00
Ike Diogu	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	23	-19	19.5	15.4	4.10	10.0	13.2	-3.16
Will Solomon	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	28	-29	15.4	16.0	-0.54	12.2	12.8	-0.62
Calvin Booth	40	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	37	-47	16.3	15.6	0.68	12.1	13.1	-1.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	39	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-28	29	11.7	13.4	-1.73	17.8	14.7	3.18
Demetris Nichols	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	10.9	12.9	-2.05	21.0	15.4	5.61
Cheikh Samb	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-29	31	10.3	12.9	-2.65	20.4	15.5	4.87
Quentin Richardson	56	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-19	11	12.1	13.5	-1.38	15.8	16.0	-0.11
Jared Jeffries	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-28	29	12.6	12.9	-0.30	15.9	15.9	0.06
Nate Robinson	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-6	-15	12.8	12.6	0.17	16.6	12.6	4.06
Larry Hughes	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	0	-27	12.7	12.8	-0.05	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Wilson Chandler	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.34	-27	0	-27	12.8	12.6	0.15	15.1	18.1	-3.08
David Lee	46	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	2	-31	13.9	11.8	2.15	14.4	17.2	-2.74
Chris Duhon	77	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.26	-27	0	-27	13.5	10.2	3.35	15.0	19.0	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 105, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
POR 119, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%