NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	5.0 [821]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +14.0%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.9 [1027]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -11.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	79%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	11	63%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Craig Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	13	34%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	19	52%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	11	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	86%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	25.3	15.6	27.2	1.8	33.3	130.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +5.7%

SAS +10.8%

SAS +14.3%

SAS +16.3%

SAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	17.0	15.5	96.6	104.5	106.4
season	15.8	16.4		104.3	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	18.6	15.1	12.9	15.3
SAS	16.3	17.4	15.5	19.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	60	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	15.5	15.0	0.43	18.3	14.5	3.77
Craig Smith	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	14.5	15.6	-1.12	19.1	16.3	2.81
Brian Cardinal	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-5	3	16.3	14.8	1.50	19.2	15.7	3.51
Randy Foye	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.9	-0.81	16.0	19.7	-3.74
Sebastian Telfair	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-7	7	15.0	16.0	-0.91	16.0	19.3	-3.29
Kevin Love	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.0	-0.93	16.1	19.0	-2.87
Jason Collins	23	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	3	-13	15.3	15.3	-0.09	13.8	18.2	-4.38
Kevin Ollie	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.0	0.91	19.3	16.0	3.29
Rodney Carney	24	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	15.9	15.1	0.81	19.7	16.0	3.74
Ryan Gomes	65	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	5	-17	15.3	15.3	-0.01	16.0	20.0	-4.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	54	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-10	27	16.0	18.7	-2.68	15.8	14.7	1.11
Ime Udoka	31	32	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-6	19	18.0	16.5	1.48	16.5	14.7	1.83
Michael Finley	61	58	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-1	9	16.4	18.4	-1.98	15.7	14.7	0.95
Tony Parker	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	1	5	16.9	17.4	-0.56	15.8	14.0	1.84
Matt Bonner	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	-7	21	15.4	18.9	-3.51	17.4	13.0	4.31
Roger Mason Jr.	61	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	3	1	16.2	18.8	-2.56	14.7	16.6	-1.82
Bruce Bowen	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	9	-11	19.1	15.5	3.62	14.0	16.4	-2.45
George Hill	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	12	-17	17.6	16.5	1.11	13.7	16.9	-3.20
Fabricio Oberto	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.26	-10	17	-27	18.7	16.0	2.68	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Drew Gooden	11	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	17	-27	20.8	16.5	4.32	13.2	15.6	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CLE 75, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SAS 84, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%