inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement4.9 [854] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +26.3%
Dallas Mavericks 103 Comeback1.4 [959] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -15.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.03-0.02383%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Nick Van Exel0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.02-0.01673%0.052-0.033100%0.02
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.011262%0.093-0.10580%0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.020,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.010.061767%0.054-0.072100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01650%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Michael Finley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0220%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Robert Horry-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.030.01831%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.030.021141%-0.102-0.061080%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.220.070.022074%0.2600.006100%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.130.010.10892%0.081-0.03862%-0.03
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00556%0.011-0.03683%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03825%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021550%0.024-0.08450%-0.03
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.000.00425%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.041032%-0.022-0.05250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.528.516.425.22.532.5134.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.6%
SAS -5.9%
SAS -3.3%
DAL +17.2%
DAL +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.615.515.694.4114.4104.4
season16.316.4106.0109.0
opponent15.615.6102.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.318.519.113.216.6
DAL16.512.216.117.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker5956-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-222516.117.6-1.5016.813.53.29
Robert Horry3739-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-212316.017.1-1.0514.916.0-1.14
Nazr Mohammed99-0.06-0.440.380.20-9-10120.716.24.4813.615.8-2.21
Rasho Nesterovic3030-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-202117.916.01.8515.115.8-0.72
Fabricio Oberto66-0.18-0.320.150.18-12-7-515.016.8-1.7614.015.7-1.65
Beno Udrih78-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-8-314.916.8-1.9413.915.7-1.83
Brent Barry5555-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-12514.520.1-5.5315.715.30.47
Michael Finley5256-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.20-2-171515.718.0-2.3714.417.4-2.95
Nick Van Exel2326-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-8-318.516.02.4813.416.4-3.04
Bruce Bowen4644-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-7-516.816.40.4317.014.12.89
Tim Duncan7070-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-10117.015.41.6216.412.44.04
Manu Ginobili5151-0.530.03-0.550.29-289-3718.514.24.2915.415.8-0.40

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki79780.84-0.341.17-0.0731-124315.317.5-2.2817.013.83.22
Doug Christie60570.61-0.110.720.081811715.316.1-0.8316.816.40.41
Devin Harris31330.360.140.22-0.141721516.914.82.0214.517.9-3.43
Josh Howard61620.230.27-0.04-0.12127516.014.61.3616.816.30.44
Marquis Daniels57580.200.30-0.09-0.03811-315.415.9-0.5315.918.1-2.19
Jason Terry59560.140.36-0.220.08217-1514.816.9-2.0217.914.53.43
Erick Dampier55520.140.36-0.230.05316-1316.114.71.3117.116.01.10
Keith Van Horn36370.130.37-0.24-0.16109115.715.50.2016.117.0-0.91
DeSagana Diop1212-0.150.65-0.800.03-625-3114.715.7-0.9216.016.7-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 89, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
LAC 95, HOU 1100.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%
LAL 90, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.97,1,1,194.0%