NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	6.4 [525]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +32.3%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	2.2 [641]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -17.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.25	0.18	0.12	0.05	25	65%	0.30	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	0.00	13	74%	0.22	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	21	39%	-0.14	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.10	-0.00	15	83%	0.38	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	13	57%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	10	77%	0.24	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	2	90%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.6	28.2	19.6	30.2	3.5	36.5	148.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +73.5%

DAL +2.1%

SAS -19.4%

SAS -8.6%

DAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	18.1	15.5	15.5	118.6	125.9	106.4
season	16.4	15.6		106.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		107.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	18.4	19.5	17.9	18.1
DAL	13.6	14.4	16.5	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	40	41	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.04	13	-18	31	17.1	19.0	-1.83	16.5	14.6	1.88
Ime Udoka	7	6	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-7	9	15.0	18.4	-3.41	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Roger Mason Jr.	70	69	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-14	23	16.9	23.6	-6.75	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Malik Hairston	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.2	18.3	-2.11	13.0	15.8	-2.77
George Hill	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	19.8	17.8	2.03	17.0	15.3	1.75
Fabricio Oberto	4	3	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	2	-9	27.2	17.7	9.57	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Michael Finley	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	18.5	17.0	1.47	15.4	16.1	-0.80
Tony Parker	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	18.4	17.3	1.15	15.4	16.1	-0.74
Kurt Thomas	47	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	18.7	17.5	1.17	16.4	14.6	1.81
Tim Duncan	70	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	5	-15	18.0	18.6	-0.53	14.9	18.2	-3.26
Bruce Bowen	41	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	10	-25	19.1	17.2	1.85	15.4	15.6	-0.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-7	19	15.1	17.3	-2.27	18.0	18.6	-0.58
Jason Terry	62	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-5	15	15.5	15.6	-0.09	18.2	18.0	0.18
Dirk Nowitzki	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-4	13	15.3	17.0	-1.65	17.5	22.7	-5.17
Josh Howard	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	15.8	14.3	1.47	17.4	21.2	-3.76
Brandon Bass	25	26	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-4	13	14.7	15.9	-1.16	21.5	16.7	4.83
Erick Dampier	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	7	-9	15.7	15.2	0.56	18.1	18.1	-0.00
Antoine Wright	40	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	8	-11	15.0	16.0	-0.98	19.3	17.0	2.35
James Singleton	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	11	-17	17.3	15.2	2.09	15.3	18.7	-3.38
Jose Juan Barea	16	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	12	-19	17.8	15.0	2.80	18.4	18.1	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.8%
MEM 94, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%