NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	3.1 [1165]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +9.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	78		Comeback	1.1 [1141]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -10.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	19	59%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	9	11%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	38%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	19	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	14	32%	-0.03	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	29.2	15.4	23.0	1.8	26.2	124.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.1%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +12.8%

SAS +2.0%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.5	117.8	87.6	106.4
season	16.4	15.7		106.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.8	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.8	15.2	16.9	16.7	16.4
LAC	15.1	16.1	18.1	13.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	8	12	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.1	15.2	0.89
Tim Duncan	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	8	12	16.8	15.8	0.99	17.2	14.1	3.09
Tony Parker	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	8	12	16.7	15.7	0.94	16.5	14.2	2.28
Matt Bonner	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.33	22	6	16	16.6	16.2	0.34	17.2	14.5	2.72
Bruce Bowen	22	22	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	17	-6	15.0	16.8	-1.79	16.3	15.6	0.72
Michael Finley	48	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	9	10	16.9	15.8	1.15	16.0	15.5	0.48
Kurt Thomas	41	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	22	-16	15.2	17.4	-2.12	14.3	17.2	-2.89
George Hill	24	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	20	-12	16.2	16.5	-0.26	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Malik Hairston	46	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	27	-26	16.5	16.3	0.20	14.3	17.2	-2.84
Ime Udoka	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.24	9	19	-10	16.6	16.3	0.33	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Jacque Vaughn	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	22	-16	16.2	16.4	-0.25	15.8	15.8	0.03
Fabricio Oberto	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	30	-32	16.9	16.2	0.66	14.2	16.2	-1.97

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	48	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-23	18	14.1	17.7	-3.58	17.4	15.1	2.38
DeAndre Jordan	28	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	-19	10	14.0	16.6	-2.54	16.8	16.2	0.58
Brian Skinner	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-21	14	17.8	15.5	2.23	13.0	16.7	-3.73
Alex Acker	20	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	-12	-4	16.0	15.7	0.35	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Marcus Camby	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-16	4	16.4	14.9	1.42	16.7	16.0	0.73
Steve Novak	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-16	4	15.4	17.0	-1.54	16.8	14.9	1.86
Baron Davis	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	-1	-26	16.5	14.1	2.34	16.4	16.4	0.06
Fred Jones	79	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	-3	-22	15.8	15.7	0.08	16.1	18.9	-2.86
Al Thornton	78	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	-1	-26	16.5	10.8	5.66	16.2	17.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DAL 102, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 134, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%