NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Excitement	3.6 [1093]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +13.7%
Phoenix Suns	140		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Earl Watson (OKC): -8.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.02	0.07	23	64%	0.13	5	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	43%	0.01	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.02	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.38	0.00	0.24	21	89%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.20	0.01	0.12	20	81%	0.17	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.07	14	63%	0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	5	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	32.1	15.8	28.1	2.7	28.3	135.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.4%

PHX +0.6%

PHX +0.2%

PHX +20.4%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	11.9	15.5	111.3	132.1	106.4
season	14.9	14.1		100.5	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	17.4	15.3	12.3	16.4	15.3
PHX	10.3	11.3	13.9	11.9	11.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	21	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-14	6	14.1	15.6	-1.49	10.7	12.2	-1.56
Chucky Atkins	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-15	8	14.8	15.5	-0.78	12.9	11.4	1.49
Nick Collison	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-14	6	15.1	15.5	-0.48	11.9	11.9	-0.01
Earl Watson	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-14	6	15.2	15.4	-0.28	12.2	11.5	0.77
Kyle Weaver	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	-1	-20	15.7	14.8	0.85	11.3	12.5	-1.22
Russell Westbrook	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.1	15.7	-0.61	11.6	12.6	-1.03
Nenad Krstic	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-8	-6	16.0	14.3	1.74	12.6	10.8	1.77
Jeff Green	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-6	-10	15.4	15.1	0.28	11.5	13.1	-1.57
Kevin Durant	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	-6	-10	15.3	15.1	0.29	12.0	11.2	0.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	92	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.31	29	-7	36	11.6	13.9	-2.36	15.7	13.1	2.59
Steve Nash	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	3	16	11.9	11.8	0.14	16.4	12.6	3.80
Jason Richardson	85	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	2	18	12.0	11.2	0.86	15.8	13.5	2.32
Shaquille O'Neal	66	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	11	0	12.3	11.2	1.05	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Matt Barnes	65	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	16	-10	11.9	11.8	0.12	14.7	16.3	-1.51
Grant Hill	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	8	6	12.0	11.8	0.20	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Lou Amundson	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	16	-10	10.5	12.4	-1.87	15.3	15.3	0.04
Goran Dragic	32	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	19	-16	11.8	11.9	-0.14	12.6	16.4	-3.80
Jared Dudley	37	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	23	-24	11.9	11.9	-0.02	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Robin Lopez	10	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.17	3	19	-16	13.9	11.7	2.23	15.6	15.3	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.1%
ATL 85, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 90, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%