NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	1.6 [1306]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +11.0%
New York Knicks	127		Comeback	1.0 [951]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -6.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	12	63%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	46%	0.00	2	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Nathan Jawai	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	13	54%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	16	63%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.19	0.00	0.11	10	91%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	18	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.00	0.11	23	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	30.2	16.4	23.6	2.5	25.5	126.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.8%

NYK +5.9%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +3.2%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	15.5	94.2	123.3	106.4
season	15.1	13.8		105.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.3	13.5	12.8	13.0	13.7
NYK	12.9	13.7	14.9	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-27	24	11.9	13.8	-1.94	17.8	13.9	3.88
Patrick O'Bryant	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-27	24	12.3	13.8	-1.51	18.4	13.8	4.55
Marcus Banks	16	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	-22	14	12.9	13.8	-0.93	16.6	13.8	2.80
Roko Leni Ukic	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-19	8	12.5	14.9	-2.42	14.5	14.1	0.31
Jason Kapono	66	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-17	4	12.8	15.3	-2.51	14.9	13.3	1.60
Jose Calderon	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-13	-4	14.8	12.4	2.41	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Joey Graham	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-16	2	12.5	15.2	-2.62	14.0	14.7	-0.77
Anthony Parker	41	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-14	-2	15.7	12.3	3.32	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Shawn Marion	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.37	-25	-5	-20	14.1	13.0	1.18	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Andrea Bargnani	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-9	-12	14.2	11.9	2.32	13.7	16.1	-2.43
Chris Bosh	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	-11	-8	13.8	13.3	0.52	13.8	15.1	-1.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	86	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.46	32	-2	34	14.1	15.1	-0.98	13.9	12.1	1.82
David Lee	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.33	24	6	18	14.6	13.3	1.25	13.5	14.0	-0.49
Jared Jeffries	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.27	21	9	12	14.1	14.5	-0.48	15.1	12.2	2.90
Chris Duhon	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.42	25	5	20	14.2	14.5	-0.30	14.8	12.1	2.70
Al Harrington	66	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.34	21	9	12	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.9	11.7	3.16
Quentin Richardson	58	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	21	-12	14.4	14.2	0.14	12.4	15.5	-3.10
Nate Robinson	61	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.13	13	17	-4	14.3	14.3	0.03	12.5	15.5	-3.01
Danilo Gallinari	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	25	-20	14.6	14.0	0.57	12.0	15.3	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, MEM 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
DEN 104, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DET 78, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%