NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	8.0 [236]		MVP	Roko Leni Ukic (TOR): +50.6%
Toronto Raptors	91		Comeback	12.0 [57]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (TOR): -21.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.21	0.15	0.04	-0.02	23	63%	0.28	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	18	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	20	50%	-0.04	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.51	0.51	0.15	0.35	0.00	13	79%	0.55	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	21	48%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.0	28.0	15.5	26.5	2.3	40.7	135.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +63.9%

SAS -7.0%

TOR +0.8%

SAS -9.0%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	TOR	NBA	SAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.5	95.7	97.8	106.4
season	16.4	15.1		106.6	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.1	14.4	18.2	15.8	15.2
TOR	15.7	15.6	16.1	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	55	54	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.24	4	-6	10	14.4	16.4	-1.98	16.4	14.8	1.59
George Hill	22	23	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.19	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.1	0.51	17.0	15.3	1.70
Malik Hairston	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	12.6	15.6	-2.96	13.6	16.0	-2.36
Kurt Thomas	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	5	-12	16.2	14.7	1.40	16.4	15.3	1.09
Fabricio Oberto	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	0	-2	24.0	15.2	8.85	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Manu Ginobili	66	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-10	18	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Michael Finley	43	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-2	2	16.1	14.5	1.53	15.8	15.6	0.25
Tim Duncan	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.59	3	-5	8	14.8	16.2	-1.38	15.3	16.6	-1.21
Roger Mason Jr.	74	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	3	-8	15.0	16.1	-1.08	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Tony Parker	71	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.64	2	-4	6	15.1	15.6	-0.51	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Bruce Bowen	24	23	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	18.5	14.1	4.44	15.9	15.7	0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roko Leni Ukic	57	56	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.58	14	-12	26	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.0	14.1	1.98
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-1	4	15.6	16.2	-0.62	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Jason Kapono	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	2	-2	15.6	16.4	-0.73	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Anthony Parker	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	8	-14	15.5	16.6	-1.08	15.5	14.1	1.44
Jake Voskuhl	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-3	8	17.3	15.5	1.85	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Jamario Moon	63	62	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	3	-4	16.3	14.5	1.80	15.4	15.0	0.37
Andrea Bargnani	83	83	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	3	-4	15.9	14.6	1.26	15.1	16.1	-0.96
Joey Graham	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.4	15.8	-0.44	13.3	15.8	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.16,1	90.6%
ORL 94, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.09,1	90.0%
TOR 110, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.28,1	89.5%