NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	126		Excitement	2.9 [1191]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +21.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.0 [491]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -7.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.01	-0.05	10	82%	0.21	2	-0.00	8	100%	0.04
Ricky Davis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.01	0.05	14	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.00	0.07	19	71%	0.15	2	-0.01	11	45%	-0.03
Fred Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheikh Samb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	10	40%	-0.07	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	13	70%	0.07	2	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.06	11	64%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.6	34.2	16.5	28.5	2.7	26.2	139.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.3%

MEM -4.1%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +2.8%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	15.5	132.6	109.4	106.4
season	15.7	16.1		100.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	14.4	18.3	17.4	15.9
MEM	13.4	15.6	14.4	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	72	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.27	28	-7	35	15.6	16.7	-1.16	13.7	16.5	-2.78
Eric Gordon	77	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	-9	39	15.6	17.2	-1.61	13.8	16.6	-2.85
Al Thornton	69	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	3	15	16.2	14.9	1.35	13.9	15.3	-1.38
Ricky Davis	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	3	15	16.4	15.2	1.23	14.9	13.6	1.28
Fred Jones	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	11	-1	16.7	14.6	2.16	14.7	13.8	0.87
Marcus Camby	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	15	-9	15.2	16.6	-1.45	14.5	14.1	0.33
Baron Davis	54	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	19	-17	15.4	16.4	-1.01	14.7	13.7	1.08
Steve Novak	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	24	-27	15.9	15.8	0.05	14.7	14.1	0.56
Jason Hart	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	15.9	-0.89	11.5	14.4	-2.86
Cheikh Samb	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	15.9	-0.89	11.5	14.4	-2.86
DeAndre Jordan	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	25	-29	16.0	15.8	0.15	17.0	14.0	3.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-12	3	13.7	14.5	-0.83	17.7	15.1	2.57
Marko Jaric	31	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-25	29	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.1	16.3	-1.14
Quinton Ross	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-24	27	14.4	14.3	0.08	17.2	15.4	1.86
Darius Miles	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-16	11	12.5	14.8	-2.28	13.7	16.5	-2.82
Greg Buckner	46	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-11	1	14.5	14.1	0.46	16.4	15.4	0.97
Marc Gasol	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-15	9	14.7	13.8	0.95	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Hakim Warrick	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-8	-5	14.3	14.3	0.07	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Mike Conley	65	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.34	-25	4	-29	14.3	14.4	-0.08	16.3	15.1	1.14
Rudy Gay	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-5	-11	14.8	12.5	2.28	16.0	15.5	0.49
O.J. Mayo	73	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.38	-28	7	-35	14.0	15.1	-1.09	15.6	16.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
CLE 102, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DAL 103, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%