NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.6 [165]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +108.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	17.4 [72]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -17.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	1.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,1.08	0.07	1.02	0.01	18	61%	1.18	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	23	54%	0.24	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.08
Leon Powe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	11	52%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.03	12	77%	0.11	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.36	0.36	0.06	0.28	-0.02	17	54%	0.39	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	7	58%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.08	0.01	19	48%	0.18	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	33.2	15.7	25.0	1.8	40.9	144.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +70.7%

PHI -0.1%

PHI -1.7%

PHI -22.4%

BOS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.5	111.1	107.6	106.4
season	15.8	15.5		108.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.5	18.6	19.3	16.5
PHI	15.2	15.5	14.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	68	71	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.37	14	-13	27	16.8	15.6	1.13	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Rajon Rondo	69	70	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-4	9	16.4	16.7	-0.23	14.3	18.0	-3.65
Ray Allen	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	2	-3	16.5	16.2	0.30	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Eddie House	27	29	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.68	-5	6	-11	15.9	16.8	-0.91	14.9	15.3	-0.35
Glen Davis	79	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	16.7	15.2	1.49	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Patrick O'Bryant	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	0	1	16.1	16.5	-0.42	18.5	14.9	3.64
Tony Allen	27	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	0	1	15.6	16.9	-1.23	15.8	14.9	0.95
Leon Powe	31	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	6	-11	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.8	14.8	0.93
Kendrick Perkins	59	59	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	4	-7	16.9	15.7	1.19	15.8	14.1	1.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	45	45	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.16	14	-15	29	16.2	14.2	2.01	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Marreese Speights	9	9	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.13	1	-2	3	15.2	15.2	0.05	21.3	16.0	5.38
Lou Williams	49	47	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.31	-7	6	-13	15.9	14.3	1.55	16.3	16.7	-0.36
Elton Brand	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	1	-3	16.6	14.9	1.68	15.3	16.7	-1.43
Willie Green	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	14.5	15.5	-0.95	17.9	15.8	2.12
Thaddeus Young	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.54	8	-9	17	15.0	15.6	-0.58	16.7	16.0	0.71
Andre Miller	77	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.58	1	-2	3	15.1	15.8	-0.75	16.8	14.9	1.95
Royal Ivey	22	21	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.68	1	-2	3	13.1	15.8	-2.74	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Samuel Dalembert	66	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.68	-1	0	-1	14.8	16.0	-1.21	16.0	17.7	-1.70
Andre Iguodala	77	74	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.45	-15	14	-29	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.1	18.1	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	91.4%
PHI 109, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.2%
GSW 95, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	90.7%