NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	3.4 [1115]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +10.2%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.4 [1138]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -5.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	57%	0.05	4	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Weaver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	3	87%	0.04	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	19	60%	0.04	5	-0.08	10	90%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	80%	0.18	6	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.07	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	31.4	15.6	24.9	2.0	24.5	126.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.9%

OKC -7.1%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +12.5%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.5	95.7	117.0	106.4
season	14.9	15.3		100.5	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.4	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	14.2	15.6	15.4	15.0
UTA	14.1	15.8	13.8	19.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	13.7	15.1	-1.34	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Nick Collison	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-15	10	16.2	14.0	2.23	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Russell Westbrook	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-8	-4	14.6	16.8	-2.24	14.9	19.3	-4.38
Earl Watson	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-14	8	14.0	15.9	-1.87	15.8	15.6	0.18
Chucky Atkins	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-9	-2	15.9	14.5	1.49	18.6	14.2	4.46
Kevin Durant	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-12	4	14.8	15.3	-0.48	15.7	15.6	0.04
Kyle Weaver	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-6	-8	15.3	14.6	0.77	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Chris Wilcox	17	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-9	-2	14.8	15.0	-0.24	16.1	15.6	0.53
Nenad Krstic	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-3	-14	15.0	14.9	0.14	16.5	14.7	1.79
Jeff Green	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	-5	-10	14.8	15.5	-0.69	15.0	18.2	-3.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	1	18	15.4	16.2	-0.81	15.9	12.9	3.07
Deron Williams	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	-2	24	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.3	14.0	1.21
Paul Millsap	78	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	5	10	14.9	19.2	-4.30	14.7	16.5	-1.88
CJ Miles	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	7	6	15.1	16.2	-1.18	15.8	14.2	1.57
Ronnie Brewer	71	70	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	14	-8	15.1	17.6	-2.55	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Matt Harpring	29	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	10	0	18.8	14.3	4.45	16.0	14.5	1.48
Kyrylo Fesenko	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	13	-6	16.1	15.5	0.56	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Kyle Korver	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	13	-6	16.3	15.0	1.24	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Brevin Knight	20	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	21	-22	17.1	15.3	1.87	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Jarron Collins	5	5	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	16	-12	16.8	15.6	1.18	12.8	15.1	-2.28
Kosta Koufos	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	17.8	15.6	2.24	12.2	15.1	-2.91
Ronnie Price	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	17.8	15.6	2.24	12.2	15.1	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIA 91, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.6%
SEA 88, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%