inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement3.4 [1117] MVPMike Dunleavy (IND): +20.4%
Indiana Pacers 114 Comeback1.2 [786] LVPDaequan Cook (MIA): -6.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Blount0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.011265%0.082-0.01250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02490%0.052-0.032100%-0.00
Joel Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00456%0.041-0.021100%0.00
Michael Beasley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.011050%0.041-0.02250%-0.00
Chris Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00375%0.012-0.012100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.041757%0.074-0.08850%-0.04
James Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.080.000.09868%-0.011-0.003100%-0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.01530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.000.081244%-0.0700.001100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.220.010.021870%0.2000.00786%0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.010.051179%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011749%0.0600.005100%0.02
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.000.06975%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04667%0.011-0.00667%-0.02
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00948%0.031-0.02786%0.01
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.0750%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.329.516.425.31.826.0130.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +17.6%
IND +14.0%
IND +8.5%
IND +5.6%
IND +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game15.615.215.5110.8121.3106.4
season16.014.1105.9106.5
opponent15.315.7107.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.915.814.015.415.6
IND13.812.317.318.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem1617-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-9718.614.93.6314.115.5-1.38
Jamaal Magloire1515-0.05-0.450.390.04-3-8518.714.93.7813.915.5-1.64
Mark Blount4748-0.16-0.340.18-0.315-162113.817.3-3.5015.614.90.73
Mario Chalmers2527-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-3-517.714.82.9614.415.6-1.12
Chris Quinn5151-0.24-0.260.01-0.21-1-10915.515.6-0.0216.513.72.81
Daequan Cook6767-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.250-111114.817.5-2.7515.714.01.75
Yakhouba Diawara5149-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.260-111115.715.40.2815.215.3-0.17
James Jones4951-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.18-3-8515.815.30.5016.613.63.02
Joel Anthony2322-0.28-0.22-0.060.16-154-1918.914.54.4014.715.4-0.68
Dwyane Wade7173-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-132-1515.117.1-2.0714.816.9-2.14
Michael Beasley5050-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-154-1914.017.3-3.2913.717.0-3.21

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy60610.50-0.000.50-0.1723-123514.316.9-2.5217.012.84.14
Danny Granger68690.470.030.44-0.0317-62313.918.8-4.9316.014.21.76
T.J. Ford46480.390.110.28-0.1418-72514.016.4-2.4415.515.6-0.08
Marquis Daniels36350.370.130.24-0.1618-72514.715.6-0.8914.416.3-1.90
Mike Dunleavy70690.360.140.23-0.0213-21515.115.7-0.5715.914.71.20
Jarrett Jack63610.180.32-0.130.21-112-1316.113.52.5316.014.81.14
Maceo Baston39370.180.32-0.130.24-213-1516.014.71.2913.716.8-3.04
Jeff Foster28290.030.47-0.430.03011-1114.415.6-1.1616.115.30.84
Travis Diener31290.020.48-0.460.34-1122-3317.714.03.6814.016.3-2.32
Stephen Graham17160.010.49-0.480.30-1021-3118.614.54.0814.915.7-0.75
Brandon Rush760.000.50-0.500.23-819-2721.414.76.6814.715.6-0.95
Rasho Nesterovic55-0.020.52-0.540.04-213-1515.015.3-0.2614.015.6-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 83, DAL 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHI 80, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIL 84, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%