NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	6.1 [619]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	2.4 [369]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): -15.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.19	0.09	0.04	13	68%	0.23	0	0.00	18	100%	0.13
Bruce Bowen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	3	64%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	21	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	16	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.06	-0.03	12	74%	0.23	1	0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	72%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.06	23	54%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	12	55%	0.03	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	33.1	20.5	31.4	3.7	37.3	154.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -7.0%

SAS +25.9%

SAS +17.0%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.5	123.9	113.0	106.4
season	16.4	14.1		106.6	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	18.6	14.3	18.0	16.5
PHX	14.5	16.4	14.5	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	62	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	1	8	16.5	16.5	0.05	15.0	14.5	0.43
Bruce Bowen	36	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-3	16	14.7	17.7	-2.97	15.3	14.5	0.87
Roger Mason Jr.	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	6	-2	16.9	15.7	1.19	14.8	14.8	0.06
Tim Duncan	80	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	16.1	19.4	-3.35	14.6	16.5	-1.87
George Hill	27	26	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	15.9	16.7	-0.81	15.2	14.7	0.54
Tony Parker	65	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	16.7	15.9	0.81	14.8	14.7	0.12
Michael Finley	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	2	6	16.2	16.7	-0.51	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Kurt Thomas	41	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	12	-14	17.8	15.5	2.27	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Matt Bonner	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	17.2	15.7	1.51	14.8	14.8	0.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	50	51	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-11	12	14.0	15.7	-1.72	16.7	16.2	0.55
Jared Dudley	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-11	12	14.9	14.8	0.09	19.2	16.2	3.02
Lou Amundson	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-10	10	14.4	14.9	-0.52	17.0	16.4	0.59
Shaquille O'Neal	66	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-13	16	14.4	15.9	-1.56	17.5	14.0	3.54
Grant Hill	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	14.7	15.0	-0.26	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.09	16.2	19.2	-3.02
Steve Nash	83	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	14.8	14.9	-0.09	16.2	19.2	-3.02
Leandro Barbosa	42	41	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	1	-12	15.7	14.0	1.72	16.2	16.7	-0.55
Matt Barnes	37	36	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	7	-24	15.9	14.0	1.91	15.9	16.9	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 114, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.06,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	93.9%
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%
NJN 110, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.02,0	93.2%