NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	81		Excitement	5.6 [706]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +35.8%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	1.9 [738]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -19.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	12	76%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.00	0.10	-0.04	17	53%	0.22	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Nene	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	5	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	4	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.15	0.18	-0.03	14	79%	0.38	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.09	0.06	7	106%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	13	19%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	0.00	12	37%	-0.09	5	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	34.9	15.8	26.1	1.7	26.8	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.9%

NOH +0.6%

NOH +1.9%

NOH +14.9%

NOH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOH	NBA	DEN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.5	90.0	104.4	106.4
season	14.4	16.6		109.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.9	14.9	14.1	16.0	15.0
NOH	15.7	14.5	20.1	18.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-14	15	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.5	16.6	0.84
Johan Petro	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	13.2	15.1	-1.89	16.2	17.1	-0.86
Anthony Carter	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-10	7	15.2	14.7	0.43	17.6	16.3	1.28
Chauncey Billups	66	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.5	-0.64	16.9	17.2	-0.26
Kenyon Martin	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-3	-7	15.1	14.5	0.61	17.3	15.8	1.54
Nene	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-8	3	14.9	15.2	-0.26	17.5	16.2	1.21
J.R. Smith	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	15.2	14.2	0.99	16.7	18.0	-1.25
Dahntay Jones	50	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	2	-17	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.1	18.3	-2.14
Chris Andersen	38	38	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	5	-23	15.4	14.7	0.75	16.5	17.4	-0.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	67	65	0.55	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-6	25	17.1	16.6	0.54	15.3	14.2	1.15
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	1	11	17.1	16.4	0.77	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Devin Brown	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	16.8	17.2	-0.47	15.0	14.9	0.11
Sean Marks	33	32	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.16	17	-4	21	16.5	17.3	-0.74	15.6	14.6	0.99
Antonio Daniels	20	20	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	18.0	16.7	1.27	16.2	14.6	1.62
Chris Paul	72	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	16.9	17.6	-0.68	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Hilton Armstrong	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	17	-21	17.3	16.5	0.74	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Rasual Butler	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	14	-15	17.5	16.7	0.81	15.1	14.9	0.16
Morris Peterson	7	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	11	-9	15.3	17.2	-1.87	15.0	15.0	0.01
Ryan Bowen	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	12	-11	16.4	17.1	-0.77	15.0	15.0	0.01
Julian Wright	27	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	22	-31	16.5	17.2	-0.70	14.3	15.3	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
CHA 96, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%
WAS 98, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.0%