NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	7.0 [428]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +21.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	5.2 [236]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -16.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0,0.17,0.21	0.13	0.05	-0.03	16	66%	0.24	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	11	56%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	15	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.01	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	11	63%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	7	67%	0.12	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.01	23	48%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	28.2	15.5	27.2	1.8	33.3	129.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.8%

DET +5.4%

DET +9.7%

DET +21.3%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.5	114.0	104.7	106.4
season	16.9	15.8		104.9	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	16.3	17.4	16.7	16.5
MIN	17.1	15.6	18.6	17.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	57	57	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.32	18	-9	27	15.5	18.6	-3.08	16.9	17.7	-0.75
Tayshaun Prince	69	67	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-3	15	16.3	17.2	-0.83	16.6	19.3	-2.74
Rasheed Wallace	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-2	13	16.4	17.2	-0.83	17.0	18.0	-0.97
Rodney Stuckey	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	4	1	17.1	14.1	3.04	17.3	16.8	0.51
Allen Iverson	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	16.5	16.5	0.01	17.2	17.3	-0.11
Richard Hamilton	38	39	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	2	5	15.6	17.3	-1.72	17.9	16.5	1.43
Jason Maxiell	15	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	11	-13	17.2	16.4	0.83	18.0	17.0	0.97
Arron Afflalo	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	16.9	16.5	0.46	17.5	17.1	0.32
Amir Johnson	29	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.08	-9	18	-27	18.6	15.5	3.08	17.7	16.9	0.75

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	38	38	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.07	6	-15	21	18.1	16.4	1.73	16.9	16.2	0.73
Brian Cardinal	9	9	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-12	15	21.3	16.7	4.65	17.6	16.4	1.17
Rodney Carney	21	21	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-8	7	19.2	16.5	2.67	17.1	16.3	0.77
Sebastian Telfair	34	35	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-7	5	17.9	16.7	1.13	18.0	15.5	2.46
Randy Foye	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	16.9	18.9	-1.95	16.5	16.8	-0.33
Mike Miller	65	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	2	-13	16.7	18.6	-1.93	15.9	18.3	-2.35
Ryan Gomes	67	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	0	-9	16.8	18.6	-1.82	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Al Jefferson	69	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	4	-17	16.7	19.1	-2.32	16.3	17.2	-0.90
Kevin Love	47	48	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.30	-15	6	-21	16.4	18.1	-1.73	16.2	16.9	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.46,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.04,0	91.7%
CLE 92, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.15,0.04,0	91.5%
PHX 116, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.08,0	91.3%