NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	7.7 [329]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +16.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	3.7 [189]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -39.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	14	56%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.03	22	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	12	39%	-0.05	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	6	0%	-0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	70%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	4	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	9	28%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.16	-0.26	-0.01	14	51%	-0.16	7	-0.24	9	33%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	29.2	18.5	30.3	1.7	32.2	135.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.4%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +26.6%

CLE +8.4%

MEM -11.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.9	17.2	15.5	109.5	101.2	104.0
season	16.2	16.4		104.6	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	18.6	15.2	19.3	16.9
MEM	17.6	15.7	16.1	19.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	18	17	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-4	14	18.3	16.5	1.73	19.1	16.7	2.44
Jeff McInnis	76	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.28	12	-6	18	16.9	17.4	-0.51	17.1	18.3	-1.22
LeBron James	80	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-4	14	16.7	21.2	-4.55	17.2	17.3	-0.17
Lucious Harris	33	31	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	4	-2	17.4	16.6	0.74	16.6	17.5	-0.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	17.8	15.3	2.51	17.2	17.1	0.13
Scott Williams	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	15.5	17.4	-1.92	17.6	17.0	0.58
Ira Newble	43	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	3	0	16.9	16.9	-0.02	16.6	17.8	-1.25
Anderson Varejao	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	9	-12	18.4	16.7	1.68	17.9	17.1	0.81
Drew Gooden	60	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	6	-6	16.0	19.2	-3.15	16.5	19.0	-2.48
Eric Snow	22	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	17.2	16.8	0.36	19.2	16.5	2.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	31	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-12	18	18.7	16.3	2.48	15.8	17.6	-1.83
Lorenzen Wright	49	47	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-11	16	17.9	16.2	1.73	17.1	16.6	0.48
Antonio Burks	24	26	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.17	9	-15	24	17.4	17.1	0.29	16.6	17.1	-0.44
Dahntay Jones	5	5	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	19.4	17.0	2.37	10.2	17.3	-7.14
Jake Tsakalidis	5	4	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	19.4	17.0	2.37	14.0	17.1	-3.06
Stromile Swift	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-4	2	17.4	16.9	0.54	16.9	16.9	-0.06
Pau Gasol	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	1	-8	16.5	20.1	-3.65	17.0	16.6	0.33
Shane Battier	67	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	16.7	18.7	-1.98	17.4	15.1	2.34
Mike Miller	68	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	0	-6	16.5	19.7	-3.18	17.4	15.1	2.33
Earl Watson	61	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.16	-15	9	-24	17.1	17.4	-0.29	17.1	16.5	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.05,0	91.6%
DET 98, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.04,0	91.5%
NYK 94, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.28,0	91.1%