NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	7.6 [318]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +21.0%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.8 [456]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -8.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.15	0.02	18	57%	0.26	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.03	10	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	3	57%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Fabricio Oberto	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	44%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	16	57%	0.10	3	-0.07	10	40%	-0.11
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.14,-0.06	-0.07	0.04	0.03	5	59%	0.14	6	-0.19	12	92%	0.05
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.27	4	-0.18	7	86%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	33%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.06
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.12	0.01	16	58%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	30.0	15.8	24.2	2.4	36.6	136.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.5%

UTA -1.8%

UTA -6.3%

SAS +9.7%

UTA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.5	114.0	108.7	106.4
season	16.4	15.3		106.6	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.4	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	15.7	15.8	13.6	15.2
UTA	15.7	17.0	17.0	14.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	68	69	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-10	26	15.5	14.2	1.25	16.8	13.7	3.12
Roger Mason Jr.	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	2	2	15.8	13.0	2.80	16.0	15.8	0.22
Matt Bonner	60	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-8	22	16.4	12.8	3.57	16.7	14.8	1.90
Michael Finley	46	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-6	18	15.1	15.2	-0.08	16.0	16.0	0.06
Tony Parker	75	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	15.1	15.4	-0.30	15.5	17.8	-2.29
Bruce Bowen	18	20	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	6	-6	13.4	15.6	-2.12	14.6	16.4	-1.78
George Hill	18	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	15.4	15.1	0.30	17.8	15.5	2.29
Manu Ginobili	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	13.8	17.5	-3.75	14.7	18.5	-3.76
Ime Udoka	17	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.4	-1.19	19.3	15.3	4.00
Fabricio Oberto	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	13	-20	15.3	15.1	0.22	13.7	16.4	-2.68
Kurt Thomas	19	18	-0.29	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	18	-30	14.1	15.4	-1.31	15.2	16.2	-0.95

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	21	24	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-11	16	17.6	15.5	2.11	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Kyrylo Fesenko	5	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	11.4	16.3	-4.85	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Brevin Knight	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-7	8	20.7	15.7	5.00	19.3	14.9	4.47
Kosta Koufos	3	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	6.0	16.3	-10.33	11.5	15.2	-3.73
Ronnie Brewer	77	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.3	19.3	-4.00	15.3	14.2	1.13
Kyle Korver	31	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	4	-14	14.6	16.7	-2.12	11.7	17.0	-5.35
CJ Miles	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-3	0	16.6	11.7	4.97	15.7	12.1	3.54
Deron Williams	86	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	1	-8	15.7	20.7	-5.00	14.9	19.3	-4.47
Mehmet Okur	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	0	-6	16.9	11.1	5.72	15.8	12.0	3.81
Paul Millsap	73	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	4	-14	15.9	16.4	-0.48	15.4	14.1	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.05,0	92.6%
DAL 108, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.04,0	92.5%
ATL 76, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.01,0	92.3%