NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.7 [467]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +14.6%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	1.3 [160]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (NOH): -12.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	73%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	17	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	19	45%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Tim Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	7	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Chris Duhon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	53%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	15%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	13	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	19	52%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	20	46%	-0.02	2	-0.07	14	93%	0.07
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	11	45%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.6	15.7	27.3	1.8	35.2	131.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.7%

NOH -16.9%

NYK +16.8%

NYK +10.7%

NYK +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	111.0	106.7	106.4
season	13.8	16.6		106.2	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.4	17.7	15.1	16.2
NOH	14.8	17.1	16.6	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	0	6	16.0	16.8	-0.77	15.1	18.2	-3.07
Quentin Richardson	64	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	15.7	17.4	-1.77	16.7	13.8	2.94
Al Harrington	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Chris Duhon	76	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	16.5	14.7	1.75	15.8	15.7	0.08
Nate Robinson	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-2	10	15.5	16.7	-1.24	15.9	15.7	0.16
Tim Thomas	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	-2	10	15.0	16.9	-1.93	16.2	15.5	0.71
David Lee	63	60	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.37	-6	12	-18	16.9	14.7	2.14	15.7	15.9	-0.15
Jared Jeffries	47	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	10	-14	17.4	15.0	2.41	15.9	15.7	0.23

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	19.0	15.5	3.52	16.4	16.2	0.19
Morris Peterson	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	21.3	15.3	5.96	17.7	16.0	1.70
Melvin Ely	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.3	15.6	1.68	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Rasual Butler	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-8	10	14.9	17.9	-3.00	16.9	14.6	2.25
David West	75	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.35	5	-11	16	15.5	17.6	-2.10	16.6	13.9	2.65
Antonio Daniels	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	18.0	15.0	2.97	14.5	16.8	-2.36
James Posey	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.8	16.8	-0.93
Tyson Chandler	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	0	-6	16.8	13.7	3.08	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Chris Paul	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	15.3	18.8	-3.48	16.3	15.5	0.82
Peja Stojakovic	66	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.0	18.1	-3.15	15.9	17.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	94.6%
GSW 85, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.9%
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%