NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	7.6 [305]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +31.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	4.5 [434]		LVP	Will Solomon (TOR): -27.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.11	0.02	14	82%	0.41	2	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	13	75%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	65%	0.20	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.28,-0.28	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	13	15%	-0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.18	-0.01	22	56%	0.36	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.06	0.01	20	71%	0.28	3	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.16	-0.02	7	44%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.01	10	55%	0.22	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	79%	0.14	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.5	15.6	26.2	2.0	34.4	134.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.1%

MIL +1.3%

MIL +9.1%

MIL +7.5%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.5	107.8	117.6	106.4
season	15.1	15.0		105.0	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	16.8	16.4	14.9	15.7
MIL	18.5	16.0	14.9	15.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	16	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-10	10	16.8	15.5	1.30	16.7	15.9	0.82
Jake Voskuhl	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-2	-6	17.4	15.5	1.84	13.7	16.4	-2.67
Chris Bosh	68	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.8	15.5	0.32	16.3	15.3	1.00
Jamario Moon	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-14	18	16.5	14.0	2.54	17.4	13.0	4.44
Roko Leni Ukic	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.6	16.4	-0.73
Will Solomon	55	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-7	4	15.7	15.7	0.00	16.4	15.6	0.73
Andrea Bargnani	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-7	4	15.8	15.6	0.20	16.2	15.5	0.70
Jason Kapono	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	3	-16	14.2	16.7	-2.52	14.0	17.3	-3.32
Joey Graham	28	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	1	-12	14.0	16.5	-2.48	16.1	16.1	0.05
Anthony Parker	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.2	0.65	15.7	17.7	-2.05

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	60	61	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.12	23	-13	36	15.1	18.0	-2.97	16.1	14.9	1.20
Charlie Villanueva	57	59	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-4	18	15.9	16.3	-0.35	16.1	15.2	0.89
Francisco Elson	56	54	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.06	21	-11	32	14.6	18.4	-3.82	15.8	15.6	0.18
Michael Redd	84	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-1	12	16.0	17.3	-1.31	15.6	17.9	-2.29
Ramon Sessions	42	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-9	28	15.5	16.6	-1.16	16.4	15.2	1.21
Luke Ridnour	49	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.35	-9	19	-28	16.6	15.5	1.16	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	10	-10	16.3	15.8	0.58	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Richard Jefferson	38	36	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	24	-38	17.9	14.8	3.12	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Dan Gadzuric	19	17	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.05	-15	25	-40	20.1	15.0	5.09	15.9	15.7	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.23,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 80, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.58,1	89.9%
CHI 82, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.59,0.29,0.23,0.42,1	89.1%
NYK 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1	88.9%