NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	1.5 [1309]		MVP	Dan Gadzuric (MIL): +6.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	1.0 [1093]		LVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): -8.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	8	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.01	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Paul Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	0.00	0.11	11	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.08	15	51%	-0.04	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	16	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	7	86%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	8	69%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	57%	0.03	3	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	56%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.5	29.5	16.3	29.5	2.5	26.3	133.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.1%

MIL +1.4%

MIL +1.7%

MIL +6.4%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	12.7	15.5	85.0	117.8	106.4
season	15.7	15.0		100.7	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.2	15.1	15.5	15.2	16.0
MIL	12.3	13.2	12.8	12.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-38	42	15.8	16.0	-0.27	12.4	12.9	-0.47
Brian Skinner	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-26	18	15.9	16.0	-0.04	12.0	12.8	-0.84
Steve Novak	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-40	46	15.1	16.5	-1.48	13.0	12.5	0.48
Mardy Collins	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-26	18	14.5	16.6	-2.10	12.7	12.7	0.04
Jason Hart	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.35	-18	-16	-2	15.2	17.5	-2.30	12.7	12.8	-0.18
Paul Davis	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-28	22	14.2	17.1	-2.85	13.7	12.0	1.68
Eric Gordon	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-16	-2	17.4	14.4	3.09	12.6	12.8	-0.15
Zach Randolph	50	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.36	-24	-10	-14	16.7	15.3	1.40	12.9	12.5	0.38
Marcus Camby	59	59	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.70	-37	3	-40	16.6	15.1	1.46	12.2	13.5	-1.27
Baron Davis	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.30	-24	-10	-14	16.4	15.5	0.84	12.8	12.6	0.27
Al Thornton	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.68	-37	3	-40	16.6	14.8	1.77	12.6	13.0	-0.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.58	34	0	34	12.5	13.0	-0.47	16.5	15.1	1.49
Michael Redd	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.71	38	-4	42	12.3	13.2	-0.95	16.2	15.6	0.66
Luke Ridnour	56	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.62	34	0	34	12.3	13.2	-0.84	16.8	15.0	1.86
Charlie Villanueva	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	19	-4	13.6	12.3	1.31	16.1	15.9	0.25
Andrew Bogut	48	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.18	16	18	-2	12.3	13.1	-0.84	16.4	15.6	0.76
Dan Gadzuric	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.31	18	16	2	13.1	12.3	0.84	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Richard Jefferson	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.28	16	18	-2	12.7	12.7	-0.04	16.9	15.3	1.59
Charlie Bell	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	26	-18	12.9	12.5	0.42	15.1	17.2	-2.13
Ramon Sessions	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	34	-34	13.4	12.1	1.29	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Joe Alexander	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	40	-46	12.5	12.8	-0.29	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Austin Croshere	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	37	-40	12.4	12.8	-0.45	14.6	16.3	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 77, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
DEN 63, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
OKC 87, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%