NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	5.3 [751]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +22.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.2 [1042]		LVP	Carl Landry (HOU): -5.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	7	82%	0.25	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Luther Head	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	-0.00	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.04	13	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	18	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	17	53%	0.12	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.05	0.02	8	64%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	31	52%	0.14	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.07	21	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	29.0	15.5	25.1	1.8	30.3	132.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.5%

HOU +1.3%

MIN -14.9%

HOU +0.5%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.5	116.0	108.5	106.4
season	16.3	15.8		105.9	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	15.2	15.2	17.4	15.2
MIN	15.4	16.1	14.8	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	70	71	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Shane Battier	72	72	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-6	19	14.6	17.5	-2.89	15.6	14.6	0.99
Tracy McGrady	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.6	17.4	-2.81
Charles Hayes	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	1	5	15.7	14.7	0.93	15.9	14.8	1.10
Metta World Peace	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	9	-11	16.4	13.1	3.29	15.3	15.5	-0.12
Luis Scola	28	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	-1	9	13.3	16.1	-2.79	15.6	15.3	0.23
Aaron Brooks	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	9	-11	15.5	14.8	0.75	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Luther Head	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	2	3	15.5	15.1	0.48	16.3	14.9	1.38
Carl Landry	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	16	-25	16.0	15.0	0.99	15.6	15.3	0.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-12	17	15.2	15.4	-0.28	17.1	14.8	2.31
Mike Miller	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.45	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Ryan Gomes	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-5	3	15.3	15.6	-0.33	14.2	17.2	-2.94
Kevin Ollie	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	15.1	15.9	-0.82	16.1	13.8	2.33
Kevin Love	14	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	3	-13	15.5	15.4	0.12	13.2	15.6	-2.43
Rodney Carney	12	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	4	-15	15.3	15.4	-0.07	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Al Jefferson	86	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-11	15	15.4	15.2	0.16	15.6	11.9	3.68
Randy Foye	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-7	7	15.7	14.8	0.87	16.0	13.7	2.36
Rashad McCants	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Craig Smith	70	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	6	-19	15.4	15.3	0.08	14.8	16.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	94.2%
WAS 101, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.1%
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	94.0%