NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	4.8 [841]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +13.9%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.0 [485]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -11.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	18	57%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	20	52%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	15	43%	-0.01	4	-0.05	12	67%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	12	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	15	67%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	16	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	24	42%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.2	15.6	28.2	2.6	31.2	134.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.9%

WAS +5.4%

WAS +15.3%

WAS +2.5%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.3	15.4	111.0	95.7	105.7
season	16.1	15.4		106.8	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.9	14.1	14.0	20.1	15.9
ATL	16.1	15.9	16.0	13.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	80	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	15.5	18.5	-2.94	15.6	13.2	2.37
Antawn Jamison	77	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	16.2	14.1	2.04	15.3	14.9	0.49
Gilbert Arenas	75	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	0	11	15.9	15.9	-0.08	14.8	17.7	-2.91
Brendan Haywood	58	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	5	1	16.2	15.3	0.84	15.4	15.0	0.43
DeShawn Stevenson	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-1	13	15.3	16.4	-1.09	15.5	15.0	0.54
Andray Blatche	41	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	10	-9	15.1	16.5	-1.31	15.7	14.9	0.82
Darius Songaila	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	9	-7	16.1	15.6	0.56	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Antonio Daniels	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	17.0	15.4	1.56	15.9	15.0	0.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-17	23	17.5	13.9	3.56	14.1	17.0	-2.90
Shelden Williams	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	9.0	15.4	-6.41	19.0	15.8	3.17
Zaza Pachulia	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-10	9	20.1	14.6	5.45	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Salim Stoudamire	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-11	11	13.3	15.6	-2.23	16.7	15.7	0.92
Josh Childress	69	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-12	13	15.0	16.0	-1.04	16.4	14.5	1.86
Acie Law	29	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	7	-25	14.8	15.5	-0.70	14.8	16.3	-1.55
Joe Johnson	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	15.7	12.9	2.84	16.1	14.6	1.46
Al Horford	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	14.9	16.4	-1.48	16.3	14.6	1.69
Josh Smith	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	14.3	19.0	-4.67	16.2	14.6	1.57
Marvin Williams	87	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	15.3	15.1	0.14	15.9	15.1	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 95, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIL 101, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	95.5%