NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.0 [1018]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +9.7%
Miami Heat	73		Comeback	2.8 [263]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -12.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	20	50%	0.16	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	13	52%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	3	43%	0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Acie Law	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	10	21%	-0.12	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	24	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	30.1	16.4	27.4	1.7	27.3	130.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.4%

ATL +11.0%

ATL +5.7%

ATL +8.1%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.7	15.5	101.2	85.9	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		106.7	105.9
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.0	13.4	21.9	16.0
MIA	17.5	20.3	17.9	14.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-7	28	15.6	18.2	-2.67	17.4	19.3	-1.86
Josh Smith	51	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-2	18	14.7	17.8	-3.05	18.1	17.2	0.90
Mike Bibby	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-4	22	14.8	19.9	-5.11	17.9	17.1	0.76
Zaza Pachulia	29	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-2	18	15.4	16.2	-0.78	19.4	16.8	2.61
Maurice Evans	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	8	-2	16.4	15.5	0.95	17.5	17.9	-0.37
Marvin Williams	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	12	-10	16.8	13.5	3.29	17.7	17.9	-0.22
Al Horford	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	12	-10	16.5	14.9	1.56	17.1	19.0	-1.93
Ronald Murray	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	14	-14	18.1	14.8	3.33	17.8	17.7	0.06
Solomon Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.7	16.0	-1.35	14.0	17.9	-3.87
Mario West	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.7	16.0	-1.35	14.0	17.9	-3.87
Acie Law	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	19	-24	18.6	15.7	2.89	18.9	17.6	1.30

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	14.0	17.9	-3.87	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Joel Anthony	41	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-19	24	17.3	18.1	-0.84	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Mario Chalmers	49	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-16	18	17.4	18.2	-0.76	16.7	14.9	1.87
Yakhouba Diawara	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	18.3	17.5	0.73	17.2	15.4	1.80
Udonis Haslem	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-14	14	16.9	19.9	-2.99	16.6	14.4	2.15
Chris Quinn	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-7	0	18.2	17.5	0.73	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Marcus Banks	12	11	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-5	-4	18.0	17.7	0.32	14.4	16.2	-1.84
Jamaal Magloire	22	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	3	-20	20.4	16.8	3.62	14.8	16.4	-1.55
Dwyane Wade	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	0	-14	17.5	18.3	-0.74	15.3	17.8	-2.43
Daequan Cook	50	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	2	-18	17.7	17.7	0.03	17.1	14.2	2.91
Shawn Marion	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	1	-16	18.0	15.4	2.56	15.5	19.7	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 111, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 104, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	94.5%