inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 108 Excitement6.9 [439] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +20.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Comeback13.3 [130] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -8.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.210.070.160.02873%0.312-0.10683%-0.03
Greg Buckner0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.00560%0.1400.0000%0.00
Quinton Ross0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.01869%0.1200.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.06-0.03556%0.1200.00683%0.03
O.J. Mayo0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.11-0.000.021067%0.0900.007100%0.04
Darko Milicic0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00558%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02750%0.001-0.03250%-0.00
Rudy Gay-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06-0.03-0.020.011950%0.044-0.116100%0.03
Marc Gasol-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.00536%-0.0800.00425%-0.06

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.030.031062%0.0800.004100%0.05
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.05-0.00189%0.163-0.09786%0.03
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.02856%0.0700.002100%0.01
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00853%0.061-0.04367%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.030.01767%0.061-0.0510%-0.01
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01367%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.09,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.07-0.041059%0.112-0.132100%0.03
Chris Wilcox0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.07-0.001860%0.166-0.251173%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.028.015.330.72.036.0141.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +27.7%
OKC -17.3%
MEM +14.2%
MEM +34.5%
OKC -9.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game16.214.415.5114.9108.5106.4
season16.114.9101.7100.5
opponent15.115.3106.6107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.616.015.417.116.2
OKC14.114.614.014.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross61600.72-0.220.940.2815-92415.916.8-0.9514.015.2-1.21
Greg Buckner36360.68-0.180.860.429-31217.315.61.6914.114.6-0.57
Mike Conley39390.62-0.120.740.4751416.815.81.0513.714.9-1.22
Marc Gasol48500.460.040.410.49-17-817.215.22.0814.314.5-0.27
Hakim Warrick29310.230.27-0.030.0660614.816.9-2.0315.314.01.32
Rudy Gay68670.230.27-0.030.26-17-816.415.70.7014.015.5-1.56
O.J. Mayo5253-0.010.51-0.52-0.1342215.017.7-2.7215.213.31.88
Kyle Lowry5555-0.120.62-0.74-0.1515-415.816.8-1.0514.913.71.22
Darko Milicic5250-0.150.65-0.79-0.09-28-1016.116.5-0.3914.514.30.25
Darrell Arthur3029-0.170.67-0.840.01-612-1817.415.71.6614.314.4-0.09

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith42410.31-0.811.120.049-152414.614.20.3516.216.2-0.03
Earl Watson47470.11-0.610.710.052-81013.515.3-1.7915.217.3-2.09
Desmond Mason49470.04-0.540.57-0.208-142214.114.7-0.6316.316.10.17
Chris Wilcox13120.03-0.530.560.001-7816.314.12.2115.116.4-1.32
Damien Wilkins3333-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-4215.513.81.6216.116.3-0.22
Nick Collison6263-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.494-101413.915.3-1.3818.012.75.31
Kevin Durant8081-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-104-1414.116.3-2.2116.018.0-2.05
Russell Westbrook6566-0.510.01-0.52-0.10-148-2214.414.4-0.0615.517.9-2.31
Jeff Green5658-0.780.28-1.05-0.34-159-2415.013.51.5216.316.20.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.47,0.15,0.32,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 96, ORL 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.09,0.08,091.0%
SAC 89, PHX 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.18,0.38,0.16,0.15,0.02,090.9%
PHI 90, DET 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.22,0.16,090.9%