NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	4.9 [856]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +23.6%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	1.4 [963]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): -8.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	16	46%	0.01	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.06	19	62%	0.06	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.00	16	69%	0.27	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.03	0.06	12	68%	0.04	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	74%	0.06	4	-0.07	7	57%	-0.06
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	29.2	15.7	27.5	2.7	31.2	134.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +5.1%

NOH +21.5%

NOH +31.7%

PHX -4.4%

PHX -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.5	107.1	120.9	106.4
season	14.1	16.6		112.1	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	14.7	16.3	18.9	16.3
NOH	14.4	19.6	16.4	19.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Singletary	13	12	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-18	23	13.3	16.8	-3.50	19.4	17.1	2.34
Lou Amundson	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-14	15	19.1	15.9	3.21	19.7	17.1	2.59
Grant Hill	68	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-16	19	16.6	15.0	1.59	18.0	14.7	3.32
Boris Diaw	45	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-9	5	16.4	16.1	0.37	18.4	16.4	1.93
Matt Barnes	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	16.2	16.5	-0.32	18.4	15.7	2.65
Robin Lopez	37	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.14	16.7	18.0	-1.34
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-3	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.23	17.2	18.6	-1.37
Leandro Barbosa	69	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	5	-23	16.6	15.0	1.57	16.6	21.1	-4.43
Raja Bell	55	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	0.07	-27	14	-41	15.8	17.2	-1.44	15.9	20.2	-4.34

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	80	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.01	23	-10	33	17.1	20.8	-3.68	16.6	12.6	4.03
Peja Stojakovic	65	63	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.01	22	-9	31	16.7	19.5	-2.80	16.2	16.5	-0.37
David West	73	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	-8	29	16.8	20.6	-3.78	16.3	16.0	0.33
Devin Brown	31	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	6	1	17.6	17.3	0.27	16.4	16.2	0.25
Tyson Chandler	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	-1	15	17.1	18.3	-1.23	16.5	15.6	0.89
Hilton Armstrong	21	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	14	-15	17.8	17.3	0.53	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Rasual Butler	41	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	9	-5	16.8	17.9	-1.10	16.1	16.4	-0.26
James Posey	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	16	-19	18.9	16.3	2.56	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Sean Marks	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.20	-12	25	-37	21.9	16.5	5.40	17.9	15.9	1.94
Morris Peterson	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	23	-33	20.8	17.1	3.68	12.6	16.6	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
GSW 98, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
OKC 108, ORL 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%