inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 93 Excitement2.7 [1225] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +14.8%
Denver Nuggets 132 Comeback1.4 [994] LVPJoey Graham (TOR): -7.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.000.051560%0.051-0.0110100%0.02
Hassan Adams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04425%0.0000.00425%0.00
Will Solomon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05623%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.05590%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.02950%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.011150%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Roko Leni Ukic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.050.000.07954%-0.0300.006100%0.01
Kris Humphries-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamario Moon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.031118%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.011145%-0.004-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.200.000.061289%0.171-0.023100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.180.010.07990%0.1200.003100%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03380%0.0300.004100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03967%0.0310.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02556%0.0100.00650%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04275%0.0000.004100%0.00
Cheikh Samb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.03858%0.012-0.03333%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.051952%-0.012-0.02650%-0.02
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.080.000.12978%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.81.729.915.725.42.428.3131.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +41.3%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +2.7%
DEN +3.8%
DEN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game14.813.615.591.2130.7106.4
season15.114.4105.0109.5
opponent15.715.6105.2108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.214.915.213.914.8
DEN13.012.814.813.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Adams2223-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-393913.315.2-1.9414.413.31.06
Will Solomon3333-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-332713.215.5-2.2914.313.21.08
Jamario Moon2423-0.12-0.380.260.20-11-281714.514.9-0.3312.214.0-1.81
Roko Leni Ukic3738-0.13-0.370.250.23-12-271514.115.2-1.1212.814.1-1.30
Jermaine O'Neal3739-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-342916.214.02.2713.513.6-0.14
Jason Kapono3433-0.18-0.320.130.32-17-22515.314.50.7513.613.50.09
Andrea Bargnani5051-0.21-0.290.080.26-16-23715.114.50.5612.714.4-1.67
Kris Humphries3936-0.21-0.290.070.23-15-24913.615.5-1.8713.213.8-0.55
Chris Bosh6565-0.34-0.16-0.190.36-24-15-915.214.01.2014.212.41.84
Jose Calderon6563-0.37-0.13-0.250.42-27-12-1515.214.11.1214.112.81.30
Anthony Parker4544-0.40-0.10-0.290.48-30-9-2115.814.01.8813.114.0-0.90
Joey Graham5957-0.40-0.10-0.290.54-32-7-2514.415.4-1.0014.013.01.02

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups67690.63-0.130.76-0.7848-95713.214.4-1.1715.214.01.22
Kenyon Martin54550.480.020.46-0.523452914.013.00.9915.713.81.91
Carmelo Anthony62620.300.200.10-0.312118313.913.10.7715.513.71.80
Dahntay Jones46460.300.200.09-0.352217513.313.8-0.5816.413.52.87
Nene55550.290.210.08-0.332118313.913.20.7415.713.72.03
Chris Andersen33340.210.29-0.08-0.141227-1513.513.6-0.1812.915.7-2.87
J.R. Smith49500.200.30-0.09-0.301722-513.613.50.1113.915.7-1.83
Linas Kleiza51520.110.39-0.27-0.211128-1713.313.8-0.4913.416.3-2.91
Renaldo Balkman29290.000.50-0.50-0.20732-2513.813.50.3113.515.3-1.78
Chucky Atkins23220.000.50-0.500.00039-3914.413.31.0613.315.2-1.94
Cheikh Samb16160.000.50-0.50-0.18633-2713.413.6-0.2414.914.80.10
Anthony Carter2020-0.030.53-0.560.09-443-4712.113.9-1.8415.414.60.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 85, GSW 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
GSW 101, PHI 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
PHI 88, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%