NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	9.4 [104]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +44.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	9.3 [97]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -20.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.45	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0,0,-0.07,0.45	0.04	0.42	0.01	17	56%	0.57	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.07	0.00	9	95%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	7	66%	0.20	5	-0.12	18	72%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	11	50%	0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.09
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	78%	0.05	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.21	-0.01	14	64%	0.35	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	7	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	52%	0.08	4	-0.16	7	86%	0.12
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	13	29%	-0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	34.3	17.6	26.8	1.8	44.2	153.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +59.7%

PHI -3.4%

ORL +0.5%

PHI -4.3%

PHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.5	106.7	105.6	106.4
season	15.3	15.5		107.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.8		105.5	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	18.5	17.2	14.8	16.1
PHI	19.7	15.1	14.1	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	40	37	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.69	7	-5	12	16.0	16.1	-0.08	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Anthony Johnson	69	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	-4	10	16.1	16.0	0.15	16.2	16.0	0.21
Rashard Lewis	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.53	1	1	0	14.8	19.7	-4.91	16.3	15.5	0.87
Dwight Howard	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	16.4	14.4	2.06	16.5	14.0	2.54
Hedo Turkoglu	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	15.7	17.7	-2.07	16.2	15.5	0.72
Courtney Lee	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	10	-18	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Tony Battie	39	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.04	-4	6	-10	17.4	15.1	2.28	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Mickael Pietrus	67	67	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.28	1	1	0	16.4	15.0	1.43	16.3	15.4	0.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	46	47	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.30	3	-5	8	16.5	15.7	0.85	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Reggie Evans	4	4	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-5	8	11.5	16.3	-4.83	13.7	16.2	-2.42
Lou Williams	32	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-5	8	15.4	16.5	-1.05	17.5	15.3	2.11
Marreese Speights	25	26	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.01	3	-5	8	14.9	16.6	-1.66	17.9	15.3	2.61
Royal Ivey	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	3.0	16.3	-13.26	25.0	16.0	9.03
Kareem Rush	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	3	-8	15.9	16.1	-0.28	16.7	16.0	0.64
Andre Iguodala	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-2	2	16.1	16.1	0.06	15.3	19.7	-4.40
Theo Ratliff	32	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	17.2	15.5	1.68	17.7	15.3	2.40
Thaddeus Young	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	16.6	14.8	1.81	15.4	17.7	-2.34
Willie Green	36	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.66	4	-6	10	15.1	16.8	-1.77	16.4	15.8	0.61
Elton Brand	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	16.6	15.0	1.60	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Andre Miller	62	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.48	-7	5	-12	16.2	15.9	0.37	15.9	16.4	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,0	90.7%
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	90.6%
CLE 88, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.85,0	90.6%