inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 90 Excitement9.3 [107] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +37.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 91 Comeback4.4 [549] LVPJohn Salmons (SAC): -31.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.09-0.001358%0.182-0.0600%0.00
Brad Miller0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.040.011262%0.1200.00580%-0.01
Shelden Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00075%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Bobby Brown-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00550%0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Donte Greene-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Jason Thompson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.00633%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.002100%0.086-0.192100%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13-0.01-0.12-0.001271%0.016-0.1400%0.00
John Salmons-0.310,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.31-0.03-0.280.001654%-0.175-0.14580%0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.110.24-0.031965%0.463-0.095100%0.09
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.070.07-0.020.06-0.021150%0.112-0.042100%0.05
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.030.02683%0.122-0.1200%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00337%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00437%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.07-0.00945%-0.043-0.082100%0.01
Greg Oden0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.080.00337%-0.034-0.15250%-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.12-0.011430%-0.171-0.03580%-0.03
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.25-0.25-0.09-0.17-0.001237%-0.192-0.06633%-0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.429.114.823.72.045.0143.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +0.6%
POR +10.2%
POR +46.9%
SAC -5.0%
SAC -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACPORNBASACPORNBA
this game13.816.615.595.795.8106.4
season15.016.7104.0111.0
opponent16.015.1105.8112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.012.715.013.713.8
POR16.017.915.017.616.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore40410.02-0.520.540.20-65-1112.614.8-2.2016.916.40.45
Jason Thompson3535-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-1115.612.82.8015.717.2-1.53
Shelden Williams99-0.07-0.430.370.02-32-510.314.2-3.8813.616.9-3.39
Donte Greene1617-0.07-0.430.360.02-32-510.214.6-4.4013.517.3-3.77
Beno Udrih6564-0.17-0.330.17-0.232-3514.213.01.2717.814.23.60
Bobby Brown2931-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-32-513.014.2-1.2714.217.8-3.60
John Salmons7878-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-3514.610.24.4017.313.53.77
Spencer Hawes7172-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.554-5914.511.82.6717.414.33.06
Bobby Jackson5960-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-10-112.815.6-2.8017.215.71.53
Brad Miller6868-0.520.02-0.54-0.613-4714.412.51.9116.118.0-1.87

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla55551.40-0.902.300.7223-224516.716.60.0814.113.50.52
Travis Outlaw55561.07-0.571.630.5717-163316.916.30.5514.213.40.79
Steve Blake63640.71-0.210.930.575-4916.516.8-0.2914.712.02.70
LaMarcus Aldridge60590.400.100.300.49-34-717.016.01.0314.413.01.38
Brandon Roy69690.390.110.270.47-34-717.314.82.5014.212.91.25
Channing Frye3535-0.040.54-0.58-0.102-1316.017.0-1.0313.014.4-1.38
Rudy Fernandez4040-0.180.68-0.86-0.2110116.516.7-0.2112.414.9-2.55
Sergio Rodriguez3230-0.210.71-0.93-0.10-45-916.816.50.2912.014.7-2.70
Nicolas Batum2624-0.270.77-1.040.05-1112-2314.517.4-2.9214.513.60.83
Greg Oden4038-0.761.26-2.02-0.11-2223-4516.616.7-0.0813.614.0-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.78,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 93, CHH 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.18,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.76,0.73,189.3%
CLE 95, ORL 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.98,0.91,189.2%
CHI 90, DET 930.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.73,189.1%