NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	4.4 [939]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAL): +14.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.7 [801]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -9.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	6	125%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	23	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	21	47%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.8	30.0	19.7	27.2	3.6	29.2	137.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.7%

PHX -3.0%

PHX -7.7%

LAL +21.0%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	111.7	98.9	106.4
season	14.9	14.1		110.6	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	15.9	13.6	17.2	15.4
PHX	14.4	16.1	16.4	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.07	21	-8	29	14.3	18.2	-3.95	16.0	13.9	2.08
Kobe Bryant	65	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.01	17	-4	21	15.0	16.3	-1.26	16.0	14.1	1.87
Lamar Odom	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-2	17	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Derek Fisher	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	13.8	17.5	-3.78	15.7	15.0	0.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	13.8	17.5	-3.78	15.7	15.0	0.74
Trevor Ariza	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.00	8	5	3	17.5	13.8	3.78	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Jordan Farmar	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.00	8	5	3	17.5	13.8	3.78	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Andrew Bynum	41	40	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	16.3	14.7	1.58	14.3	16.2	-1.97
Luke Walton	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.6	15.3	1.26	16.8	15.3	1.53
Chris Mihm	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.6	15.3	1.26	16.8	15.3	1.53
Sasha Vujacic	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	16	-19	16.8	14.6	2.23	14.1	16.1	-1.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	16.8	15.3	1.53	16.6	15.3	1.26
Robin Lopez	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	16.8	15.3	1.48	15.6	15.4	0.21
Lou Amundson	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.0	15.4	-0.44	17.9	15.2	2.70
Sean Singletary	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-10	7	15.4	15.4	0.05	17.7	14.7	3.03
Boris Diaw	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-12	11	14.6	16.1	-1.56	17.7	13.3	4.41
Grant Hill	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.6	14.3	2.27
Matt Barnes	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	15.3	15.5	-0.15	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Shaquille O'Neal	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	16.0	14.5	1.48	14.0	17.3	-3.30
Steve Nash	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	15.4	15.4	-0.05	14.7	17.7	-3.03
Raja Bell	72	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.4	15.3	0.14	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	6	-25	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.8	18.1	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%