inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 85 Excitement3.8 [1058] MVPJeff Green (OKC): +16.9%
Philadelphia 76ers 110 Comeback1.4 [1159] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -19.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.040.001570%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Desmond Mason0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03540%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Weaver0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06286%0.0000.00367%0.00
Mouhamed Sene0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02475%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Swift-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.041241%-0.0320.00887%-0.00
Johan Petro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031037%-0.0310.00475%0.00
Nick Collison-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.020.01712%-0.1200.002100%0.00
Earl Watson-0.180,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.040.00540%-0.026-0.1600%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.21-0.03-0.051832%-0.045-0.16425%-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.02-0.031454%0.1100.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.12-0.010.081572%0.082-0.062100%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011059%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00460%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.03939%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01847%0.012-0.02333%-0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.02550%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.011442%-0.031-0.02862%-0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.19-0.01-0.10815%-0.054-0.04425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.427.814.825.42.428.3123.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +22.6%
PHI +2.2%
PHI +8.6%
PHI +15.7%
PHI +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPHINBAOKCPHINBA
this game14.114.215.583.3108.9106.4
season14.915.5100.5105.3
opponent15.915.1105.5106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.514.315.312.614.1
PHI14.812.915.314.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith40390.22-0.720.94-0.1613-385111.915.6-3.7115.513.51.98
Russell Westbrook52530.11-0.610.710.023-283112.216.1-3.8714.514.00.43
Kyle Weaver16150.00-0.500.50-0.062-272911.214.7-3.4114.914.10.73
Mouhamed Sene14130.00-0.500.500.000-252511.814.5-2.7114.214.3-0.11
Damien Wilkins2121-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-221911.314.9-3.5213.814.4-0.55
Desmond Mason4748-0.02-0.480.460.24-9-16713.015.1-2.1314.314.20.08
Johan Petro5456-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-13114.114.2-0.1113.215.6-2.36
Robert Swift3029-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-18-7-1115.713.52.1814.614.10.43
Jeff Green7473-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-9-714.213.90.3714.413.90.44
Kevin Durant5957-0.580.08-0.650.01-20-5-1515.612.03.6015.113.21.93
Nick Collison4847-0.620.12-0.740.32-327-3916.711.94.8013.714.7-1.02
Earl Watson5554-0.640.14-0.770.33-338-4116.311.64.6613.515.1-1.61

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elton Brand55550.68-0.180.86-0.2933-84113.415.3-1.9016.411.54.89
Andre Miller57580.68-0.180.86-0.2030-53513.914.7-0.7716.211.54.70
Thaddeus Young68680.59-0.090.69-0.4335-104513.615.7-2.1115.012.42.62
Samuel Dalembert63640.490.010.49-0.061961314.413.90.5215.212.32.85
Andre Iguodala60610.490.010.48-0.071961314.114.4-0.2815.312.42.86
Marreese Speights38380.010.49-0.49-0.17619-1313.914.4-0.5212.315.2-2.85
Royal Ivey15160.000.50-0.500.06-227-2914.914.10.7311.214.7-3.41
Donyell Marshall16170.000.50-0.500.03-126-2714.214.3-0.0710.914.8-3.89
Kareem Rush17180.000.50-0.500.03-126-2714.314.20.0611.614.7-3.12
Willie Green4241-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-126-2715.313.51.7813.214.7-1.52
Lou Williams4444-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-530-3514.713.90.7711.516.2-4.70
Reggie Evans3030-0.180.68-0.860.02-732-3915.913.62.3011.815.1-3.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 86, SAS 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
POR 77, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIN 110, MEM 1350.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%