NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	3.0 [1176]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +13.3%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	1.0 [672]		LVP	David West (NOH): -10.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	11	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	51%	0.08	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.02	0.10	19	68%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	90%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	19	50%	-0.03	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.6	27.4	16.4	23.0	2.4	34.5	133.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.3%

LAL +8.1%

NOH -1.2%

LAL +10.2%

NOH -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.5	102.2	94.5	106.4
season	14.9	16.6		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	16.6	17.3	16.0	15.9
NOH	16.8	18.6	14.0	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	64	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-13	33	16.5	14.6	1.91	16.5	14.2	2.31
Derek Fisher	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	3	1	16.5	15.0	1.51	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Kobe Bryant	72	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	16.3	14.5	1.80	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-4	15	17.9	14.1	3.76	17.0	14.7	2.28
Lamar Odom	54	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	9	-11	14.6	17.9	-3.31	15.1	16.8	-1.66
Pau Gasol	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	11	-15	16.5	14.6	1.91	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Trevor Ariza	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	10	-13	14.4	17.4	-3.01	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Jordan Farmar	35	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	4	-1	15.0	16.5	-1.51	16.4	15.3	1.11
Sasha Vujacic	22	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	13.9	16.5	-2.63	16.5	15.5	1.01

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-19	31	15.9	15.7	0.25	18.5	15.3	3.23
Mike James	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.8	-0.15	11.2	16.6	-5.36
Julian Wright	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	18.0	15.6	2.38	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Rasual Butler	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.9	-0.85	11.9	16.8	-4.94
Morris Peterson	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	3	-13	16.6	15.4	1.22	17.1	15.4	1.67
Hilton Armstrong	31	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.06	-10	3	-13	15.8	15.7	0.14	13.4	17.0	-3.60
Tyson Chandler	60	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-10	13	15.7	15.8	-0.14	17.0	13.4	3.60
James Posey	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-10	13	15.4	16.6	-1.22	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Peja Stojakovic	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.0	-0.33	16.3	15.0	1.34
Chris Paul	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-5	3	15.8	15.6	0.15	16.6	11.2	5.36
David West	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	15.8	15.3	0.46	15.9	15.6	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SEA 114, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
CHI 105, CHA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%