NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.9 [848]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +21.2%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	1.2 [426]		LVP	Jamario Moon (TOR): -14.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.03	10	74%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.05	21	57%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	15	70%	0.26	3	-0.05	13	77%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	16	26%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	8	28%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	29.6	15.8	26.3	2.3	33.5	132.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.4%

TOR -8.3%

TOR -4.3%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	115.2	103.2	106.4
season	15.5	15.1		105.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		108.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	17.5	16.5	15.8	15.9
TOR	17.4	15.2	16.2	12.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	16.3	15.1	1.26	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Elton Brand	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-5	20	15.8	16.5	-0.76	15.5	14.1	1.45
Samuel Dalembert	39	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-3	16	14.3	17.1	-2.88	16.2	14.4	1.82
Andre Miller	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Andre Iguodala	73	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	2	6	16.1	15.3	0.82	15.2	15.2	0.09
Thaddeus Young	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.25	-2	12	-14	15.5	16.6	-1.09	15.8	14.2	1.57
Lou Williams	21	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	15.2	16.1	-0.87	15.5	15.2	0.30
Marreese Speights	41	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	12	-14	16.1	15.8	0.33	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Reggie Evans	20	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	18.5	15.2	3.31	15.1	15.3	-0.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Adams	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	8.0	15.5	-7.47	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Roko Leni Ukic	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	13.1	15.4	-2.30	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Anthony Parker	69	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-12	14	15.4	14.6	0.81	16.7	13.8	2.85
Will Solomon	32	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-13	16	14.5	15.6	-1.11	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Joey Graham	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	15.1	15.2	-0.15	16.2	15.9	0.39
Andrea Bargnani	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	14.2	16.5	-2.28	16.9	14.7	2.26
Jose Calderon	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	1	-12	16.7	13.6	3.11	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Jamario Moon	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	15.2	15.2	0.01	14.2	17.7	-3.48
Jermaine O'Neal	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	0	-10	15.9	14.3	1.63	16.0	15.8	0.12
Jason Kapono	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	4	-18	15.0	15.6	-0.60	16.3	15.2	1.10
Chris Bosh	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	3	-16	15.3	14.7	0.57	15.8	16.9	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	95.2%
GSW 100, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
DET 87, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%