inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 89 Excitement6.1 [611] MVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): +17.9%
Charlotte Bobcats 79 Comeback4.8 [153] LVPJermaine O'Neal (TOR): -14.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.120.100.041075%0.211-0.03475%-0.00
Chris Bosh0.180,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.100.031967%0.295-0.11786%0.00
Jose Calderon0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.00-0.001065%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jamario Moon0.070,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Adams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roko Leni Ukic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Solomon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.02333%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011233%-0.061-0.02333%-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.030.01531%-0.073-0.08683%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.01862%0.0800.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,00.000.09-0.060.031158%0.0000.002100%0.01
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00370%0.042-0.05475%0.00
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.001035%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00841%-0.021-0.021100%0.01
Andre Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.001537%0.032-0.10250%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.021148%0.023-0.103100%0.02
Gerald Wallace0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.021122%-0.111-0.03540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.91.831.215.523.22.825.3129.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +54.5%
CHA -2.9%
TOR +3.5%
CHA -3.0%
CHA -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHANBATORCHANBA
this game16.317.815.5106.092.9106.4
season15.116.5105.0103.0
opponent15.615.6104.5108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.716.416.917.416.3
CHA16.617.019.118.617.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamario Moon61610.69-0.190.88-0.0124-143816.515.90.5919.214.15.09
Andrea Bargnani48490.56-0.060.620.3091816.116.6-0.5517.218.5-1.26
Chris Bosh77770.55-0.050.590.0517-72416.019.3-3.2618.511.17.34
Jose Calderon59590.280.220.06-0.1916-62216.715.41.2818.815.53.22
Will Solomon25260.220.28-0.060.39-616-2215.416.7-1.2815.518.8-3.22
Anthony Parker60620.180.32-0.14-0.1712-21416.515.80.6518.316.51.78
Jason Kapono38390.160.34-0.180.25-313-1615.417.0-1.6517.118.4-1.34
Kris Humphries330.000.50-0.500.15-515-2020.016.23.844.018.3-14.28
Hassan Adams110.000.50-0.500.00010-1022.016.25.7712.017.8-5.85
Roko Leni Ukic330.000.50-0.500.15-515-2020.016.23.844.018.3-14.28
Jermaine O'Neal3334-0.020.52-0.53-0.0828-616.616.10.4618.717.11.60
Joey Graham1211-0.120.62-0.740.20-1121-3217.016.20.8212.318.6-6.32

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexis Ajinca11110.05-0.550.61-0.188-182611.018.8-7.7815.916.4-0.45
Matt Carroll26240.05-0.550.60-0.229-192815.119.0-3.8914.417.1-2.69
Shannon Brown430.04-0.540.57-0.146-16223.218.5-15.2420.016.23.84
Andre Brown1413-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-9818.717.61.1215.216.5-1.35
Nazr Mohammed1311-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-7416.817.9-1.1013.816.7-2.85
Gerald Wallace6363-0.18-0.320.130.20-133-1618.715.23.4416.415.90.52
Emeka Okafor4244-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-1-818.716.91.8117.515.02.43
D.J. Augustin4444-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.16-4-6217.618.0-0.4316.116.5-0.48
Raymond Felton5757-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-100-1018.117.01.1016.815.11.69
Adam Morrison3332-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-4-6216.818.4-1.5216.016.5-0.53
Jared Dudley5656-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.26-7-3-418.416.51.9616.016.9-0.89
Jason Richardson6262-0.590.09-0.670.06-2212-3419.213.95.3016.815.01.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.1,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 104, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.54,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.23,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.16,091.9%
IND 94, MIL 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,091.6%
CLE 121, BKN 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,091.4%