NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	6.4 [545]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +37.1%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	3.2 [479]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -6.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.37	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.35	0.08	0.06	21	86%	0.45	4	-0.08	15	100%	0.07
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	15	45%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	10	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	54%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	18	53%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	57%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	19	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	16	59%	0.05	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	29.5	15.3	28.7	2.3	32.5	137.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.4%

IND -7.0%

PHX +0.7%

IND -1.7%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	15.5	114.1	104.0	106.4
season	14.1	14.1		112.1	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	15.4	17.0	17.1	15.8
IND	12.1	13.4	13.8	14.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	91	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-1	12	15.7	17.0	-1.33	13.3	13.2	0.07
Leandro Barbosa	47	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	0	10	15.8	15.7	0.06	13.5	13.1	0.38
Grant Hill	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	5	0	15.9	15.5	0.34	13.1	13.8	-0.70
Boris Diaw	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	4	2	15.7	15.9	-0.13	13.0	13.8	-0.71
Goran Dragic	32	32	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	14.8	16.3	-1.47	13.3	13.3	0.05
Steve Nash	67	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	6	-2	16.3	14.8	1.47	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Raja Bell	77	77	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	5	0	15.7	16.1	-0.46	13.4	13.1	0.23
Shaquille O'Neal	22	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	17.4	15.3	2.04	14.2	13.0	1.24
Lou Amundson	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	8	-6	14.8	16.1	-1.29	13.0	13.4	-0.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maceo Baston	4	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-12	14	11.7	13.4	-1.63	11.2	16.0	-4.72
Travis Diener	17	16	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.06	3	-13	16	13.6	13.3	0.33	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Roy Hibbert	31	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-8	6	12.2	13.8	-1.63	15.3	16.0	-0.64
Troy Murphy	61	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	13.1	13.6	-0.47	16.0	15.3	0.71
Jarrett Jack	45	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	13.1	13.5	-0.33	16.1	15.5	0.56
Danny Granger	79	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	13.7	11.7	2.02	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Marquis Daniels	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	13.7	12.0	1.75	16.1	14.6	1.58
Brandon Rush	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.17	-19	9	-28	12.0	14.4	-2.37	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Jeff Foster	59	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	14.4	11.7	2.62	16.5	14.6	1.89
T.J. Ford	77	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	3	-16	13.2	13.8	-0.65	15.6	16.4	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.53,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.08,0	92.7%
NOP 121, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.5%
DEN 106, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.05,0	92.5%