NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	71		Excitement	6.9 [436]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +12.3%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	1.4 [1066]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -33.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.07
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	22	43%	-0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.20	-0.17	-0.04	20	25%	-0.24	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	14	57%	0.12	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	18	41%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	53%	0.10	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.15	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	27.2	17.4	24.6	2.5	38.4	135.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.3%

HOU +20.0%

MEM -10.2%

HOU +11.0%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.5	80.7	93.2	106.4
season	16.1	16.3		101.7	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	14.6	17.3	15.8	15.9
HOU	15.3	19.0	17.0	16.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	16	18	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.13	2	-13	15	12.4	16.7	-4.26	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Kyle Lowry	29	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-16	21	14.4	16.7	-2.30	18.4	16.0	2.38
Greg Buckner	14	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-14	17	15.0	16.1	-1.09	20.1	16.2	3.84
Darrell Arthur	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-16	21	15.2	16.8	-1.62	17.3	16.2	1.14
Hakim Warrick	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-8	5	15.9	15.9	0.01	19.4	15.8	3.57
Marc Gasol	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	16.0	15.5	0.52	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Darko Milicic	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	3	-17	17.1	15.3	1.79	15.6	17.5	-1.96
Rudy Gay	74	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	3	-17	16.1	15.0	1.09	16.2	20.1	-3.84
Mike Conley	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.14	-16	5	-21	16.7	14.4	2.30	16.0	18.4	-2.38
O.J. Mayo	73	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	4	-19	16.5	12.9	3.68	16.8	16.7	0.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-8	27	16.4	18.8	-2.35	16.3	14.0	2.32
Rafer Alston	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-4	19	16.3	18.2	-1.85	16.3	14.9	1.42
Yao Ming	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-2	15	16.3	18.8	-2.55	16.1	15.1	1.00
Tracy McGrady	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-1	13	16.0	18.9	-2.84	16.2	15.1	1.15
Carl Landry	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	8	-5	17.9	15.9	1.96	15.2	16.5	-1.37
Luis Scola	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	5	1	16.3	17.4	-1.05	16.8	15.0	1.81
Charles Hayes	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	18.8	16.3	2.55	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Luther Head	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	18.0	16.4	1.64	14.5	16.5	-1.95
Brent Barry	39	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	18	-25	18.4	15.6	2.79	14.7	16.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.72,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.6%
LAC 85, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	92.1%
POR 99, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	92.0%