NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	7.5 [306]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +31.3%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	3.1 [583]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -13.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.11	0.20	-0.01	15	74%	0.38	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	18	51%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.05
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Gabe Pruitt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.11	0.02	20	57%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	14	47%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	32.6	16.7	25.2	2.6	26.0	130.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.8%

NYK -0.9%

NYK -8.8%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.4	106.5	98.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.7		108.0	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.9		109.9	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	16.4	16.6	15.8	16.2
NYK	13.8	13.0	15.4	16.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-8	22	16.3	15.8	0.54	15.1	12.1	3.01
Rajon Rondo	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-4	14	16.5	14.7	1.81	15.0	12.4	2.56
Sam Cassell	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	16.1	16.5	-0.42	14.4	14.8	-0.31
Brian Scalabrine	38	39	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	6	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.37	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Leon Powe	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-6	18	17.0	15.8	1.21	16.2	13.6	2.56
Glen Davis	59	59	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.36	-7	13	-20	16.0	16.7	-0.77	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Kendrick Perkins	49	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	1	4	16.3	16.2	0.08	15.6	13.4	2.13
Tony Allen	37	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	16.2	16.3	-0.10	13.9	15.0	-1.05
Gabe Pruitt	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	16.6	16.2	0.47	11.9	15.0	-3.18
P.J. Brown	16	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	12	-18	14.6	16.6	-2.03	11.9	15.2	-3.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	45	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	13.3	15.7	-2.36	16.5	16.0	0.48
Jared Jeffries	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-2	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.34	16.5	16.0	0.45
Zach Randolph	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	15.2	14.0	1.25	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	54	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.1	0.85	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Randolph Morris	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-5	4	15.7	14.4	1.31	17.5	16.0	1.41
Mardy Collins	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-7	8	14.1	14.9	-0.85	16.7	15.9	0.78
David Lee	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	4	-14	15.0	13.7	1.23	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Renaldo Balkman	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.2	14.9	-0.68	16.3	16.2	0.09
Nate Robinson	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.1	0.67	16.2	16.3	-0.02
Fred Jones	47	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.6	-0.11	16.1	16.4	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.05,0,0	92.0%
ORL 73, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.04,0	91.8%
MIL 93, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.16,0	91.1%